Petržalka W v Spartak Trnava W prediction · I Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Petržalka WDrawSpartak Trnava W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Spartak Trnava W 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Spartak Trnava W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Petržalka W 33%, draw 19%, Spartak Trnava W 48%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Petržalka W v Spartak Trnava WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Petržalka W win33%

Draw19%

Spartak Trnava W win48%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Petržalka W

Spartak Trnava W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · I Liga - Women

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Spartak Trnava W	10	−14	13
10	Petržalka W	10	−36	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spartak trnava w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Spartak Trnava W a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–2.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Petržalka W v Spartak Trnava W~~1.78 – 2.20

~~Form · last six in I Liga - Women this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 3 v 13~~10 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Petržalka W win	33%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Spartak Trnava W win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
Petržalka W or draw	52%	–	–
Petržalka W clean sheet	12%	–	–
Spartak Trnava W clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.6%

0123450 4.8 4.6 3.3 1 4.0 7.1 7.6 5.5 3.1 2 3.2 6.3 6.5 4.7 2.6 3 3.8 3.9 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Petržalka W down, Spartak Trnava W across0–5 goals a side shown (95.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 698 I Liga - Women matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: I Liga - Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 84.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.10 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Petržalka W at home: 1.50 scored, 4.83 conceded a game (last 6). Spartak Trnava W away: 0.67 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.78 goals for Petržalka W, 2.20 for Spartak Trnava W. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.10

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SPA 1–0 PET · SPA 2–3 PET · PET 3–2 SPA · PET 1–0 SPA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in I Liga - Women this season · since 12 Sept

PETRŽALKA W

LLLLLL1–6 · 0–7 · 1–4 · 2–5 · 0–5 · 1–2

SPARTAK TRNAVA W

LWLLLW1–5 · 1–0 · 3–5 · 0–6 · 2–5 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Spartak Myjava W	10	+60	30
2	Slovan Bratislava W	10	+40	27
3	Trenčín W	10	+7	19
4	Z. Moravce-Vrable W	10	−2	15
5	Komárno W	10	−8	14
6	Tatran Prešov W	10	−3	13
7	Spartak Trnava W	10	−14	13
8	Ružomberok W	10	−16	9
9	Dukla Banská Bystrica W	10	−28	4
10	Petržalka W	10	−36	3