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Vranov nad Topľou v Dukla Banská Bystrica

Vranov nad Topľou

0–2Full time

Dukla Banská Bystrica

Cup · WED 14 OCT

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 16:31

Vranov nad Topľou 0–2 Dukla Banská Bystrica DUKLA BANSKÁ BYSTRICA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG0–3 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Dukla Banská Bystrica win~~85%

~~The market said~~78%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.036

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.076

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Dukla Banská Bystrica win at 85%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Dukla Banská Bystrica 85% before kick-off, 85% now. 0–0 · 5–10–85
1′KICK-OFF Vranov nad Topľou v Dukla Banská Bystrica
11′⚽ GOAL · 10' Vranov nad Topľou 0–1 Dukla Banská Bystrica
12′Dukla Banská Bystrica find the net on 10′. 0–1. 0–1 · 1–4–94
31′The goal count is tracking the 3.9 we expected. 0–1 · 1–6–93
38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Vranov nad Topľou 0–2 Dukla Banská Bystrica
39′A goal for Dukla Banská Bystrica on 38′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Dukla Banská Bystrica win: 85% at kick-off, 99% now
42′We said Dukla Banská Bystrica at 85% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 0–2 · 0–1–99
45′HALF-TIME Vranov nad Topľou 0–2 Dukla Banská Bystrica
46′SECOND HALF Vranov nad Topľou 0–2 Dukla Banská Bystrica
62′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Dukla Banská Bystrica
73′We said Dukla Banská Bystrica at 85% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
85′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Vranov nad Topľou
90′0–2 at the end. Our 85% on Dukla Banská Bystrica comes in. 0–2 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Vranov nad Topľou 0–2 Dukla Banská Bystrica
FTVranov nad Topľou 0–2 Dukla Banská Bystrica · Dukla Banská Bystrica win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 0–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Vranov nad Topľou v Dukla Banská BystricaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 13:28 · locked at kick-off

Vranov nad Topľou win5%

Draw10%

Dukla Banská Bystrica win85%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 14:00

Line-ups

Vranov nad Topľou

Dukla Banská Bystrica

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Vranov nad Topľou

Dukla Banská Bystrica

42Days since last match42

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
19	Dukla Banská Bystrica	2	+4	6
34	Vranov nad Topľou	2	+1	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Vranov nad Topľou

Formation not confirmed

25 O. Vasilco

2 D. Papakonstantinou

18 F. Dzivak

5 S. Barrow

6 T. Lesko

10 M. Kotlar

8 J. Rozkos

9 M. Palo

20 T. Cacko

15 N. Jelen

7 F. Palfi

Coach · R. Lazúr

Substitutes

19 · K. Urbanek

11 · O. Urbanek

4 · M. Truchan

12 · J. Kandala

16 · A. Michalov

22 · A. Dmytriev

17 · T. Kozej

28 · D. Jevos

23 · S. Bakajsa

Dukla Banská Bystrica

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Trefil

11 K. Vallo

23 M. Bakala

14 Joao Miranda

42 Maik

24 V. Toth

15 A. Sivicek

9 T. Slebodnik

73 A. Hanes

25 E. Okechukwu

27 N. Kubala

Coach · Daniel Valach

Substitutes

81 · M. Lukac

16 · S. Kostial

8 · S. Hanzlik

4 · A. Balaz

12 · F. Plavy

18 · M. Mikusiak

13 · N. Sikula

19 · B. Pindura

Our number · dukla banská bystrica winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 13:28 · locked at kick-off

85% The market78%

Us85%

~~Market~~78%

We make Dukla Banská Bystrica a 85% chance to win. The market has them at 78%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.7–3.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Vranov nad Topľou v Dukla Banská Bystrica~~0.71 – 3.18

~~Last six in Cup~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 4 v 6~~34 v 19

~~The market · Dukla Banská Bystrica win~~78% · ours 85%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · dukla banská bystrica win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 78% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vranov nad Topľou win	5%	8%	−3
Draw	10%	15%	−4
Dukla Banská Bystrica win	85%	78%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	75%	69%	+6
Both teams to score	49%	50%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	90%	86%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	54%	50%	+4
Vranov nad Topľou or draw	15%	22%	−7
Vranov nad Topľou clean sheet	4%	–	–
Dukla Banská Bystrica clean sheet	49%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–3 at 11.0%

0123450 2.2 6.4 10.4 11.0 8.8 5.61 4.7 7.3 7.8 6.2 3.92 2.6 2.7 2.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vranov nad Topľou down, Dukla Banská Bystrica across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates every club on one scale from 407,336 league, cup and continental matches in 638 leagues up to 14 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Vranov nad Topľou play in the 3. liga - East, Dukla Banská Bystrica in the 2. liga.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Vranov nad Topľou are at home.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two in this competition, so this step adds nothing.

What the model expects

0.71 goals for Vranov nad Topľou, 3.18 for Dukla Banská Bystrica. Most likely score 0–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Cup since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Cup

VRANOV NAD TOPĽOU

WLWLDW8–0 · 1–4 · 1–0 · 1–4 · 3–3 · 2–1

DUKLA BANSKÁ BYSTRICA

LWWDWW0–2 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Čadca	3	+12	9
2	Zemplín Michalovce	3	+8	9
3	Podbrezová	3	+6	9
4	Nové Zámky	3	+5	7
5	Žilina	2	+13	6
6	FK Košice	2	+12	6
7	Slovan Bratislava	2	+10	6
8	Tatran Prešov	3	+8	6
9	AS Trencin	2	+8	6
10	Lokomotíva Zvolen	2	+8	6
11	Komárno	2	+7	6
12	Lokomotíva Košice	2	+7	6
13	Ružomberok	2	+7	6
14	Pohronie	2	+6	6
15	Spartak Trnava	2	+5	6
16	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	3	+4	6
17	Veľké Ludince	2	+4	6
18	Skalica	2	+4	6
19	Dukla Banská Bystrica	2	+4	6
20	Považská Bystrica	2	+3	6
21	Spartak Myjava	2	+3	6
22	Liptovský Mikuláš	2	+3	6
23	Svätý Jur	3	+2	6
24	Inter Bratislava	3	+2	6
25	Šamorín	2	+2	6
26	Piešťany	2	+7	4
27	MSK Tesla Stropkov	2	+5	4
28	Petržalka	2	+4	4
29	Námestovo	2	+4	4
30	Nová Baňa	2	+2	4
31	Beluša	2	+2	4
32	Zlaté Moravce	2	+2	4
33	MFK Bytča	2	+2	4
34	Vranov nad Topľou	2	+1	4
35	Humenné	2	+1	4
36	Kostolné Kračany	2	+1	4
37	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	2	+1	4
38	Dunajska Streda	2	+12	3
39	Partizán Bardejov	2	+3	3
40	Dunajská Lužná	2	+3	3
41	Novohrad Lučenec	2	+3	3
42	Spišská Nová Ves	2	+3	3
43	Galanta	2	+2	3
44	Fiľakovo	2	+2	3
45	Rača	2	+2	3
46	Boleráz	1	+2	3
47	Tomášov	2	+1	3
48	Fomat Martin	2	0	3
49	Druzstevnik Latky	2	0	3
50	Baník Prievidza	2	0	3
51	Oravské Veselé	2	0	3
52	Púchov	2	0	3
53	Kysucké Nové Mesto	2	0	3
54	Nitra	2	0	3
55	Slávia TU Košice	2	0	3
56	Poprad	2	0	3
57	Brezno	2	−1	3
58	Šoporňa	2	−1	3
59	Spartak Medzev	2	−1	3
60	Slovan Vavrečka	2	−3	3
61	Zahradne	1	0	1
62	Ostrovany	1	0	1
63	Sokol Brezovica	1	0	1
64	Hranovnica	1	0	1
65	Podkonice	1	0	1
66	Levoča	2	−2	1
67	Tatran Krásno	2	−2	1
68	Harichovce	2	−7	1
69	Slovan Kendice	2	−8	1
70	Jelka	1	−1	0
71	Malženice	1	−1	0
72	Partizán Osrblie	1	−1	0
73	Rožňava	1	−1	0
74	Snina	1	−1	0
75	Gerlachov	1	−1	0
76	Kovarce	1	−1	0
77	Nové Mesto nad Váhom	1	−1	0
78	Rohožník	1	−1	0
79	Dynamo Diviaky	1	−2	0
80	Gabčíkovo	1	−2	0
81	Holíč	1	−2	0
82	Priehrada	1	−2	0
83	Príbelce	1	−2	0
84	Rovnost Krajne	1	−2	0
85	Dolné Krškany	1	−2	0
86	Družstevník Bešeňov	1	−2	0
87	Lovca	1	−2	0
88	Oravan	1	−2	0
89	Priechod	1	−2	0
90	Rosina	1	−2	0
91	Sokol Borský Mikuláš	1	−2	0
92	Starý Smokovec	1	−2	0
93	Tvrdošín	1	−2	0
94	Závažná Poruba	1	−2	0
95	Spartak Kvašov	1	−3	0
96	Baník Kalinovo	1	−3	0
97	Jakubov	1	−3	0
98	Vycapy Opatovce	1	−3	0
99	Zitavany	1	−3	0
100	Bernolákovo	1	−3	0
101	Družstevník Čirč	1	−3	0
102	Kechnec	1	−3	0
103	Rudňany	1	−3	0
104	Trenčianske Stankovce	1	−3	0
105	V. Kapusany	1	−3	0
106	Slovan Giraltovce	1	−4	0
107	Malinovo	1	−4	0
108	Nová Dedinka	1	−4	0
109	Geča	1	−4	0
110	Hronec	1	−4	0
111	Kováčová	1	−4	0
112	Vinohrad Čebovce	1	−4	0
113	Višňové	1	−4	0
114	Čaňa	1	−4	0
115	Šenkvice	1	−4	0
116	Cicarovce	1	−5	0
117	FC Topoľčany	1	−5	0
118	Raslavice	1	−5	0
119	Slovan Halic	1	−5	0
120	Slovan Tomášovce	1	−5	0
121	Spišské Podhradie	1	−5	0
122	Jednota Bánová	1	−6	0
123	Kopčany	1	−7	0
124	Kysučan Korňa	1	−7	0
125	Divina	1	−8	0
126	Slovan Nitra-Chrenová	1	−8	0
127	Svaty Peter	1	−13	0