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Spartak Myjava v Ružomberok

Spartak Myjava

0–3Full time

Ružomberok

Cup · WED 14 OCT

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 16:01

Spartak Myjava 0–3 Ružomberok RUŽOMBEROK WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ružomberok win~~56%

~~The market said~~62%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.288

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.212

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Ružomberok win at 56%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Ružomberok 56% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 19–24–57
1′KICK-OFF Spartak Myjava v Ružomberok
18′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Spartak Myjava
18′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Ružomberok
26′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Ružomberok
26′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Spartak Myjava
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Ružomberok win: 56% at kick-off, 46% now
39′Ružomberok find the net on 38′. 0–1. 0–1 · 4–14–82
39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Spartak Myjava 0–1 Ružomberok
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Ružomberok win: 56% at kick-off, 82% now
41′We said Ružomberok at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 0–1 · 4–14–82
42′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 4–14–82
42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Ružomberok
45′HALF-TIME Spartak Myjava 0–1 Ružomberok
46′SECOND HALF Spartak Myjava 0–1 Ružomberok
59′We said Ružomberok at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Ružomberok win: 56% at kick-off, 86% now
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Spartak Myjava 0–2 Ružomberok
69′A goal for Ružomberok on 68′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Ružomberok win: 56% at kick-off, 99% now
71′We said Ružomberok at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 0–2 · 0–1–99
77′78′ and it is 0–3: Ružomberok have scored. 0–3 · 0–0–100
77′⚽ GOAL · 78' Spartak Myjava 0–3 Ružomberok
79′We said Ružomberok at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
81′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Spartak Myjava 0–3 Ružomberok
FTSpartak Myjava 0–3 Ružomberok · Ružomberok win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Spartak Myjava v RužomberokBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 13:01 · locked at kick-off

Spartak Myjava win19%

Draw25%

Ružomberok win56%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 13:30

Line-ups

Spartak Myjava

Ružomberok

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Spartak Myjava

Ružomberok

29Days since last match42

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Ružomberok	2	+7	6
21	Spartak Myjava	2	+3	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Spartak Myjava

Formation not confirmed

28 L. Hodul

7 O. Voitiuk

11 A. Bibik

12 E. Pecha

14 M. Sekera

16 J. Halabrin

17 A. Rihak

19 S. Cernak

21 F. Buchel

20 G. Halabrin

23 J. Buchel

Coach · A. Rechtorík

Substitutes

5 · S. Flamik

8 · J. Valik

9 · M. Michalec

10 · L. Slavik

18 · S. Pavlik

22 · R. Rippel

30 · P. Opalek

Ružomberok

Formation not confirmed

34 D. Huska

6 T. Mirko

9 M. Koubek

11 S. Lavrincik

16 D. Kostl

17 A. Tucny

20 M. Chobot

23 D. Prekop

24 P. Jevos

25 D. Grgic

31 D. Kostka

Coach · Jaroslav Kostl

Substitutes

1 · I. Krajcirik

4 · O. Luteran

5 · T. Marusin

15 · M. Bacik

18 · K. Huna

19 · V. Hranos

22 · T. Buchvaldek

29 · S. Gerec

30 · M. Boda

Our number · ružomberok winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 13:01 · locked at kick-off

56% The market62%

Us56%

~~Market~~62%

We make Ružomberok a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.8–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Spartak Myjava v Ružomberok~~0.85 – 1.67

~~Last six in Cup~~W3 D1 L2 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 6 v 6~~21 v 13

~~The market · Ružomberok win~~62% · ours 56%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · ružomberok win The market, margin stripped

Published at 58%, 56% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Spartak Myjava win	19%	16%	+3
Draw	25%	21%	+4
Ružomberok win	56%	62%	−6
Over 2.5 goals	46%	60%	−14
Both teams to score	47%	55%	−9
Over 1.5 goals	72%	80%	−9
Over 3.5 goals	25%	40%	−16
Spartak Myjava or draw	44%	38%	+6
Spartak Myjava clean sheet	19%	–	–
Ružomberok clean sheet	43%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.1%

0123450 8.4 13.1 11.2 6.2 2.6 1 6.5 11.8 9.5 5.3 2.2 2 2.9 4.9 4.0 2.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Spartak Myjava down, Ružomberok across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates every club on one scale from 407,336 league, cup and continental matches in 638 leagues up to 14 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Spartak Myjava play in the 3. liga - West, Ružomberok in the Super Liga.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Spartak Myjava are at home.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two in this competition, so this step adds nothing.

What the model expects

0.85 goals for Spartak Myjava, 1.67 for Ružomberok. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Cup since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Cup

SPARTAK MYJAVA

LWDLWW1–3 · 5–0 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 2–1

RUŽOMBEROK

WWWLWW6–2 · 7–0 · 1–0 · 2–4 · 5–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Čadca	3	+12	9
2	Zemplín Michalovce	3	+8	9
3	Podbrezová	3	+6	9
4	Nové Zámky	3	+5	7
5	Žilina	2	+13	6
6	FK Košice	2	+12	6
7	Slovan Bratislava	2	+10	6
8	Tatran Prešov	3	+8	6
9	AS Trencin	2	+8	6
10	Lokomotíva Zvolen	2	+8	6
11	Komárno	2	+7	6
12	Lokomotíva Košice	2	+7	6
13	Ružomberok	2	+7	6
14	Pohronie	2	+6	6
15	Spartak Trnava	2	+5	6
16	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	3	+4	6
17	Veľké Ludince	2	+4	6
18	Skalica	2	+4	6
19	Dukla Banská Bystrica	2	+4	6
20	Považská Bystrica	2	+3	6
21	Spartak Myjava	2	+3	6
22	Liptovský Mikuláš	2	+3	6
23	Svätý Jur	3	+2	6
24	Inter Bratislava	3	+2	6
25	Šamorín	2	+2	6
26	Piešťany	2	+7	4
27	MSK Tesla Stropkov	2	+5	4
28	Petržalka	2	+4	4
29	Námestovo	2	+4	4
30	Nová Baňa	2	+2	4
31	Beluša	2	+2	4
32	Zlaté Moravce	2	+2	4
33	MFK Bytča	2	+2	4
34	Vranov nad Topľou	2	+1	4
35	Humenné	2	+1	4
36	Kostolné Kračany	2	+1	4
37	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	2	+1	4
38	Dunajska Streda	2	+12	3
39	Partizán Bardejov	2	+3	3
40	Dunajská Lužná	2	+3	3
41	Novohrad Lučenec	2	+3	3
42	Spišská Nová Ves	2	+3	3
43	Galanta	2	+2	3
44	Fiľakovo	2	+2	3
45	Rača	2	+2	3
46	Boleráz	1	+2	3
47	Tomášov	2	+1	3
48	Fomat Martin	2	0	3
49	Druzstevnik Latky	2	0	3
50	Baník Prievidza	2	0	3
51	Oravské Veselé	2	0	3
52	Púchov	2	0	3
53	Kysucké Nové Mesto	2	0	3
54	Nitra	2	0	3
55	Slávia TU Košice	2	0	3
56	Poprad	2	0	3
57	Brezno	2	−1	3
58	Šoporňa	2	−1	3
59	Spartak Medzev	2	−1	3
60	Slovan Vavrečka	2	−3	3
61	Zahradne	1	0	1
62	Ostrovany	1	0	1
63	Sokol Brezovica	1	0	1
64	Hranovnica	1	0	1
65	Podkonice	1	0	1
66	Levoča	2	−2	1
67	Tatran Krásno	2	−2	1
68	Harichovce	2	−7	1
69	Slovan Kendice	2	−8	1
70	Jelka	1	−1	0
71	Malženice	1	−1	0
72	Partizán Osrblie	1	−1	0
73	Rožňava	1	−1	0
74	Snina	1	−1	0
75	Gerlachov	1	−1	0
76	Kovarce	1	−1	0
77	Nové Mesto nad Váhom	1	−1	0
78	Rohožník	1	−1	0
79	Dynamo Diviaky	1	−2	0
80	Gabčíkovo	1	−2	0
81	Holíč	1	−2	0
82	Priehrada	1	−2	0
83	Príbelce	1	−2	0
84	Rovnost Krajne	1	−2	0
85	Dolné Krškany	1	−2	0
86	Družstevník Bešeňov	1	−2	0
87	Lovca	1	−2	0
88	Oravan	1	−2	0
89	Priechod	1	−2	0
90	Rosina	1	−2	0
91	Sokol Borský Mikuláš	1	−2	0
92	Starý Smokovec	1	−2	0
93	Tvrdošín	1	−2	0
94	Závažná Poruba	1	−2	0
95	Spartak Kvašov	1	−3	0
96	Baník Kalinovo	1	−3	0
97	Jakubov	1	−3	0
98	Vycapy Opatovce	1	−3	0
99	Zitavany	1	−3	0
100	Bernolákovo	1	−3	0
101	Družstevník Čirč	1	−3	0
102	Kechnec	1	−3	0
103	Rudňany	1	−3	0
104	Trenčianske Stankovce	1	−3	0
105	V. Kapusany	1	−3	0
106	Slovan Giraltovce	1	−4	0
107	Malinovo	1	−4	0
108	Nová Dedinka	1	−4	0
109	Geča	1	−4	0
110	Hronec	1	−4	0
111	Kováčová	1	−4	0
112	Vinohrad Čebovce	1	−4	0
113	Višňové	1	−4	0
114	Čaňa	1	−4	0
115	Šenkvice	1	−4	0
116	Cicarovce	1	−5	0
117	FC Topoľčany	1	−5	0
118	Raslavice	1	−5	0
119	Slovan Halic	1	−5	0
120	Slovan Tomášovce	1	−5	0
121	Spišské Podhradie	1	−5	0
122	Jednota Bánová	1	−6	0
123	Kopčany	1	−7	0
124	Kysučan Korňa	1	−7	0
125	Divina	1	−8	0
126	Slovan Nitra-Chrenová	1	−8	0
127	Svaty Peter	1	−13	0