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Považská Bystrica v FK Košice

Považská Bystrica

0–2Full time

FK Košice

Cup · WED 14 OCT

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 16:01

Považská Bystrica 0–2 FK Košice FK KOŠICE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FK Košice win~~72%

~~The market said~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.114

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.419

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said FK Košice win at 72%.
1′Much as we predicted: FK Košice was 72% before kick-off and our model makes it 72% now. 0–0 · 13–15–72
1′KICK-OFF Považská Bystrica v FK Košice
17′FK Košice find the net on 17′. 0–0. 0–0 · 14–18–68
18′⚽ GOAL · 17' Považská Bystrica 0–1 FK Košice
18′GOAL DISALLOWED · 18' FK Košice
19′We published FK Košice at 72%. Our model now makes it 86%. 0–1 · 4–9–86
19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Považská Bystrica 0–1 FK Košice
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' FK Košice win: 72% at kick-off, 86% now
23′A goal for FK Košice on 24′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–3–96
23′⚽ GOAL · 24' Považská Bystrica 0–2 FK Košice
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' FK Košice win: 72% at kick-off, 96% now
26′We published FK Košice at 72%. Our model now makes it 96%. 0–2 · 1–3–96
36′Goals are coming at about the 4.0 we expected. 0–2 · 1–3–96
45′SECOND HALF Považská Bystrica 0–2 FK Košice
48′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Považská Bystrica
52′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Považská Bystrica
81′We published FK Košice at 72%. Our model now makes it 100%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Považská Bystrica 0–2 FK Košice
FTPovažská Bystrica 0–2 FK Košice · FK Košice win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Považská Bystrica v FK KošiceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 13:01 · locked at kick-off

Považská Bystrica win12%

Draw15%

FK Košice win72%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 13:30

Line-ups

Považská Bystrica

FK Košice

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Považská Bystrica

FK Košice

42Days since last match42

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	FK Košice	2	+12	6
20	Považská Bystrica	2	+3	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Považská Bystrica

Formation not confirmed

73 M. Bastek

4 M. Mynar

20 M. Matejcik

14 D. Beranek

16 M. Curik

11 M. Benadik

18 F. Liszka

8 S. Javorcek

13 P. Kotroczo

9 S. Maslej

17 R. Zemko

Coach · Martin Kuciak

Substitutes

22 · R. Bozik

12 · S. Samaj

19 · A. Celko

7 · A. Kacerik

1 · A. Malovec

23 · D. Kucharcik

FK Košice

Formation not confirmed

35 J. Wollacott

7 M. Dimun

15 M. Sovic

21 D. Magda

26 S. Kosa

44 M. Mateas

47 L. Lukacevic

66 B. Damjanovic

77 M. Rehus

80 K. Palumets

99 A. Maras

Coach · Peter Cernak

Substitutes

33 · F. Kalanin

6 · F. Lichy

8 · D. Gallovic

9 · T. Seguchi

11 · M. Rabatin

18 · T. Durko

23 · M. Madlenak

24 · D. Kruzliak

29 · O. Kakay

Our number · fk košice winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 13:01 · locked at kick-off

72% The market47%

Us72%

~~Market~~47%

We make FK Košice a 72% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 25 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–2.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Považská Bystrica v FK Košice~~1.15 – 2.87

~~Last six in Cup~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 6 v 6~~20 v 6

~~The market · FK Košice win~~47% · ours 72%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · fk košice win The market, margin stripped

Published at 73%, 72% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Považská Bystrica win	12%	28%	−16
Draw	15%	25%	−9
FK Košice win	72%	47%	+25
Over 2.5 goals	76%	64%	+12
Both teams to score	65%	65%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	91%	82%	+9
Over 3.5 goals	57%	44%	+13
Považská Bystrica or draw	28%	53%	−25
Považská Bystrica clean sheet	6%	–	–
FK Košice clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.5%

0123450 5.0 7.4 7.1 5.1 2.91 6.1 8.5 8.1 5.8 3.32 3.4 4.9 4.7 3.4 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Považská Bystrica down, FK Košice across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates every club on one scale from 407,336 league, cup and continental matches in 638 leagues up to 14 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Považská Bystrica play in the 2. liga, FK Košice in the Super Liga.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Považská Bystrica are at home.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two in this competition, so this step adds nothing.

What the model expects

1.15 goals for Považská Bystrica, 2.87 for FK Košice. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Cup since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Cup

POVAŽSKÁ BYSTRICA

WDWLWW2–0 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 3–2

FK KOŠICE

WDDLWW4–0 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 5–0 · 7–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Čadca	3	+12	9
2	Zemplín Michalovce	3	+8	9
3	Podbrezová	3	+6	9
4	Nové Zámky	3	+5	7
5	Žilina	2	+13	6
6	FK Košice	2	+12	6
7	Slovan Bratislava	2	+10	6
8	Tatran Prešov	3	+8	6
9	AS Trencin	2	+8	6
10	Lokomotíva Zvolen	2	+8	6
11	Komárno	2	+7	6
12	Lokomotíva Košice	2	+7	6
13	Ružomberok	2	+7	6
14	Pohronie	2	+6	6
15	Spartak Trnava	2	+5	6
16	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	3	+4	6
17	Veľké Ludince	2	+4	6
18	Skalica	2	+4	6
19	Dukla Banská Bystrica	2	+4	6
20	Považská Bystrica	2	+3	6
21	Spartak Myjava	2	+3	6
22	Liptovský Mikuláš	2	+3	6
23	Svätý Jur	3	+2	6
24	Inter Bratislava	3	+2	6
25	Šamorín	2	+2	6
26	Piešťany	2	+7	4
27	MSK Tesla Stropkov	2	+5	4
28	Petržalka	2	+4	4
29	Námestovo	2	+4	4
30	Nová Baňa	2	+2	4
31	Beluša	2	+2	4
32	Zlaté Moravce	2	+2	4
33	MFK Bytča	2	+2	4
34	Vranov nad Topľou	2	+1	4
35	Humenné	2	+1	4
36	Kostolné Kračany	2	+1	4
37	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	2	+1	4
38	Dunajska Streda	2	+12	3
39	Partizán Bardejov	2	+3	3
40	Dunajská Lužná	2	+3	3
41	Novohrad Lučenec	2	+3	3
42	Spišská Nová Ves	2	+3	3
43	Galanta	2	+2	3
44	Fiľakovo	2	+2	3
45	Rača	2	+2	3
46	Boleráz	1	+2	3
47	Tomášov	2	+1	3
48	Fomat Martin	2	0	3
49	Druzstevnik Latky	2	0	3
50	Baník Prievidza	2	0	3
51	Oravské Veselé	2	0	3
52	Púchov	2	0	3
53	Kysucké Nové Mesto	2	0	3
54	Nitra	2	0	3
55	Slávia TU Košice	2	0	3
56	Poprad	2	0	3
57	Brezno	2	−1	3
58	Šoporňa	2	−1	3
59	Spartak Medzev	2	−1	3
60	Slovan Vavrečka	2	−3	3
61	Zahradne	1	0	1
62	Ostrovany	1	0	1
63	Sokol Brezovica	1	0	1
64	Hranovnica	1	0	1
65	Podkonice	1	0	1
66	Levoča	2	−2	1
67	Tatran Krásno	2	−2	1
68	Harichovce	2	−7	1
69	Slovan Kendice	2	−8	1
70	Jelka	1	−1	0
71	Malženice	1	−1	0
72	Partizán Osrblie	1	−1	0
73	Rožňava	1	−1	0
74	Snina	1	−1	0
75	Gerlachov	1	−1	0
76	Kovarce	1	−1	0
77	Nové Mesto nad Váhom	1	−1	0
78	Rohožník	1	−1	0
79	Dynamo Diviaky	1	−2	0
80	Gabčíkovo	1	−2	0
81	Holíč	1	−2	0
82	Priehrada	1	−2	0
83	Príbelce	1	−2	0
84	Rovnost Krajne	1	−2	0
85	Dolné Krškany	1	−2	0
86	Družstevník Bešeňov	1	−2	0
87	Lovca	1	−2	0
88	Oravan	1	−2	0
89	Priechod	1	−2	0
90	Rosina	1	−2	0
91	Sokol Borský Mikuláš	1	−2	0
92	Starý Smokovec	1	−2	0
93	Tvrdošín	1	−2	0
94	Závažná Poruba	1	−2	0
95	Spartak Kvašov	1	−3	0
96	Baník Kalinovo	1	−3	0
97	Jakubov	1	−3	0
98	Vycapy Opatovce	1	−3	0
99	Zitavany	1	−3	0
100	Bernolákovo	1	−3	0
101	Družstevník Čirč	1	−3	0
102	Kechnec	1	−3	0
103	Rudňany	1	−3	0
104	Trenčianske Stankovce	1	−3	0
105	V. Kapusany	1	−3	0
106	Slovan Giraltovce	1	−4	0
107	Malinovo	1	−4	0
108	Nová Dedinka	1	−4	0
109	Geča	1	−4	0
110	Hronec	1	−4	0
111	Kováčová	1	−4	0
112	Vinohrad Čebovce	1	−4	0
113	Višňové	1	−4	0
114	Čaňa	1	−4	0
115	Šenkvice	1	−4	0
116	Cicarovce	1	−5	0
117	FC Topoľčany	1	−5	0
118	Raslavice	1	−5	0
119	Slovan Halic	1	−5	0
120	Slovan Tomášovce	1	−5	0
121	Spišské Podhradie	1	−5	0
122	Jednota Bánová	1	−6	0
123	Kopčany	1	−7	0
124	Kysučan Korňa	1	−7	0
125	Divina	1	−8	0
126	Slovan Nitra-Chrenová	1	−8	0
127	Svaty Peter	1	−13	0