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Lokomotíva Košice v AS Trencin

Lokomotíva Košice

0–1Full time

AS Trencin

Cup · WED 14 OCT

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 16:01

Lokomotíva Košice 0–1 AS Trencin AS TRENCIN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said AS Trencin win~~80%

~~The market said~~62%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.064

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.214

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said AS Trencin win at 80%.
1′Much as we predicted: AS Trencin was 80% before kick-off and our model makes it 80% now. 0–0 · 7–13–80
1′KICK-OFF Lokomotíva Košice v AS Trencin
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' AS Trencin win: 80% at kick-off, 70% now
35′We said AS Trencin at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 68%. 0–0 · 9–23–68
43′We said AS Trencin at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 9–27–64
43′A goal for AS Trencin on 45′ — 0–0. 0–0 · 9–27–64
43′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Lokomotíva Košice
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Lokomotíva Košice 0–1 AS Trencin
45′HALF-TIME Lokomotíva Košice 0–1 AS Trencin
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' AS Trencin win: 80% at kick-off, 91% now
46′SECOND HALF Lokomotíva Košice 0–1 AS Trencin
64′🟨 YELLOW · 65' AS Trencin
66′We published AS Trencin at 80%. Our model now makes it 92%. 0–1 · 1–8–92
80′We published AS Trencin at 80%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
FTFULL TIME Lokomotíva Košice 0–1 AS Trencin
FTLokomotíva Košice 0–1 AS Trencin · AS Trencin win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Lokomotíva Košice v AS TrencinBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 13:01 · locked at kick-off

Lokomotíva Košice win7%

Draw14%

AS Trencin win80%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 13:30

Line-ups

Lokomotíva Košice

AS Trencin

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Lokomotíva Košice

AS Trencin

42Days since last match42

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	AS Trencin	2	+8	6
12	Lokomotíva Košice	2	+7	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Lokomotíva Košice

Formation not confirmed

22 F. Spisak

8 B. Gall

44 E. Matta

21 O. Jankelic

2 M. Simcak

10 P. Kolesar

6 D. Halcisak

14 M. Polca

20 C. Kelubia

7 R. Rezes

16 A. Ozuzu

Coach · M. Lalkovic

Substitutes

4 · T. Handlovic

11 · M. Demjanovic

28 · J. Mician

9 · E. Pacinda

12 · J. Skovran

3 · A. Muller

15 · S. Cornak

33 · M. Lesko

19 · I. Novotny

AS Trencin

Formation not confirmed

30 M. Slavicek

14 R. Sanusi

33 R. Krizan

29 L. Bessile

25 L. Skovajsa

8 T. Hajovsky

7 Eynel Soares

16 C. Ansah

21 L. Mikulaj

93 P. Gonzalez

10 D. Kam

Coach · Marek Danovsky

Substitutes

91 · M. Jurak

22 · D. Jepihhin

40 · M. Garba

5 · F. Kasana

13 · J. Mulder

27 · F. Slovak

77 · J. Paur

95 · P. Diouf

2 · N. Jovanovic

Our number · as trencin winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 13:01 · locked at kick-off

80% The market62%

Us80%

~~Market~~62%

We make AS Trencin a 80% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 17 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.7–2.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lokomotíva Košice v AS Trencin~~0.66 – 2.68

~~Last six in Cup~~W3 D1 L2 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 6 v 6~~12 v 9

~~The market · AS Trencin win~~62% · ours 80%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · as trencin win The market, margin stripped

Published at 81%, 80% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lokomotíva Košice win	7%	16%	−10
Draw	14%	21%	−8
AS Trencin win	80%	62%	+17
Over 2.5 goals	65%	62%	+3
Both teams to score	45%	57%	−12
Over 1.5 goals	85%	81%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	43%	42%	+1
Lokomotíva Košice or draw	20%	38%	−17
Lokomotíva Košice clean sheet	7%	–	–
AS Trencin clean sheet	52%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 12.7%

0123450 3.7 9.3 12.7 11.3 7.6 4.11 2.1 6.5 8.4 7.5 5.0 2.72 2.1 2.8 2.5 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lokomotíva Košice down, AS Trencin across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates every club on one scale from 407,336 league, cup and continental matches in 638 leagues up to 14 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Lokomotíva Košice play in the 3. liga - East, AS Trencin in the Super Liga.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Lokomotíva Košice are at home.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two in this competition, so this step adds nothing.

What the model expects

0.66 goals for Lokomotíva Košice, 2.68 for AS Trencin. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Cup since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Cup

LOKOMOTÍVA KOŠICE

LDWLWW1–3 · 2–2 · 4–2 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 3–0

AS TRENCIN

WWWLWW2–1 · 3–1 · 5–0 · 0–3 · 6–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Čadca	3	+12	9
2	Zemplín Michalovce	3	+8	9
3	Podbrezová	3	+6	9
4	Nové Zámky	3	+5	7
5	Žilina	2	+13	6
6	FK Košice	2	+12	6
7	Slovan Bratislava	2	+10	6
8	Tatran Prešov	3	+8	6
9	AS Trencin	2	+8	6
10	Lokomotíva Zvolen	2	+8	6
11	Komárno	2	+7	6
12	Lokomotíva Košice	2	+7	6
13	Ružomberok	2	+7	6
14	Pohronie	2	+6	6
15	Spartak Trnava	2	+5	6
16	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	3	+4	6
17	Veľké Ludince	2	+4	6
18	Skalica	2	+4	6
19	Dukla Banská Bystrica	2	+4	6
20	Považská Bystrica	2	+3	6
21	Spartak Myjava	2	+3	6
22	Liptovský Mikuláš	2	+3	6
23	Svätý Jur	3	+2	6
24	Inter Bratislava	3	+2	6
25	Šamorín	2	+2	6
26	Piešťany	2	+7	4
27	MSK Tesla Stropkov	2	+5	4
28	Petržalka	2	+4	4
29	Námestovo	2	+4	4
30	Nová Baňa	2	+2	4
31	Beluša	2	+2	4
32	Zlaté Moravce	2	+2	4
33	MFK Bytča	2	+2	4
34	Vranov nad Topľou	2	+1	4
35	Humenné	2	+1	4
36	Kostolné Kračany	2	+1	4
37	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	2	+1	4
38	Dunajska Streda	2	+12	3
39	Partizán Bardejov	2	+3	3
40	Dunajská Lužná	2	+3	3
41	Novohrad Lučenec	2	+3	3
42	Spišská Nová Ves	2	+3	3
43	Galanta	2	+2	3
44	Fiľakovo	2	+2	3
45	Rača	2	+2	3
46	Boleráz	1	+2	3
47	Tomášov	2	+1	3
48	Fomat Martin	2	0	3
49	Druzstevnik Latky	2	0	3
50	Baník Prievidza	2	0	3
51	Oravské Veselé	2	0	3
52	Púchov	2	0	3
53	Kysucké Nové Mesto	2	0	3
54	Nitra	2	0	3
55	Slávia TU Košice	2	0	3
56	Poprad	2	0	3
57	Brezno	2	−1	3
58	Šoporňa	2	−1	3
59	Spartak Medzev	2	−1	3
60	Slovan Vavrečka	2	−3	3
61	Zahradne	1	0	1
62	Ostrovany	1	0	1
63	Sokol Brezovica	1	0	1
64	Hranovnica	1	0	1
65	Podkonice	1	0	1
66	Levoča	2	−2	1
67	Tatran Krásno	2	−2	1
68	Harichovce	2	−7	1
69	Slovan Kendice	2	−8	1
70	Jelka	1	−1	0
71	Malženice	1	−1	0
72	Partizán Osrblie	1	−1	0
73	Rožňava	1	−1	0
74	Snina	1	−1	0
75	Gerlachov	1	−1	0
76	Kovarce	1	−1	0
77	Nové Mesto nad Váhom	1	−1	0
78	Rohožník	1	−1	0
79	Dynamo Diviaky	1	−2	0
80	Gabčíkovo	1	−2	0
81	Holíč	1	−2	0
82	Priehrada	1	−2	0
83	Príbelce	1	−2	0
84	Rovnost Krajne	1	−2	0
85	Dolné Krškany	1	−2	0
86	Družstevník Bešeňov	1	−2	0
87	Lovca	1	−2	0
88	Oravan	1	−2	0
89	Priechod	1	−2	0
90	Rosina	1	−2	0
91	Sokol Borský Mikuláš	1	−2	0
92	Starý Smokovec	1	−2	0
93	Tvrdošín	1	−2	0
94	Závažná Poruba	1	−2	0
95	Spartak Kvašov	1	−3	0
96	Baník Kalinovo	1	−3	0
97	Jakubov	1	−3	0
98	Vycapy Opatovce	1	−3	0
99	Zitavany	1	−3	0
100	Bernolákovo	1	−3	0
101	Družstevník Čirč	1	−3	0
102	Kechnec	1	−3	0
103	Rudňany	1	−3	0
104	Trenčianske Stankovce	1	−3	0
105	V. Kapusany	1	−3	0
106	Slovan Giraltovce	1	−4	0
107	Malinovo	1	−4	0
108	Nová Dedinka	1	−4	0
109	Geča	1	−4	0
110	Hronec	1	−4	0
111	Kováčová	1	−4	0
112	Vinohrad Čebovce	1	−4	0
113	Višňové	1	−4	0
114	Čaňa	1	−4	0
115	Šenkvice	1	−4	0
116	Cicarovce	1	−5	0
117	FC Topoľčany	1	−5	0
118	Raslavice	1	−5	0
119	Slovan Halic	1	−5	0
120	Slovan Tomášovce	1	−5	0
121	Spišské Podhradie	1	−5	0
122	Jednota Bánová	1	−6	0
123	Kopčany	1	−7	0
124	Kysučan Korňa	1	−7	0
125	Divina	1	−8	0
126	Slovan Nitra-Chrenová	1	−8	0
127	Svaty Peter	1	−13	0