

Liptovský Mikuláš v Skalica
Liptovský Mikuláš
SkalicaCup · TUE 20 OCT
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 0–0, the score after 90 minutes. Skalica won 3–5 on penalties.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Skalica win at 48%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Skalica 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 26–26–48
- 2′KICK-OFF Liptovský Mikuláš v Skalica
- 38′PENALTY MISSED · 38' Skalica
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Skalica win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Liptovský Mikuláš 0–0 Skalica
- 46′SECOND HALF Liptovský Mikuláš 0–0 Skalica
- 50′We said Skalica at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 23–41–36
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Skalica win 39%)
- 54′We said Skalica at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 22–44–34
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.8 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 22–45–34
- 59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Liptovský Mikuláš
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Skalica · On: A. Morong · Off: A. Abdullahi
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Skalica · On: D. Baris · Off: A. Ravas
- 63′We said Skalica at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 19–51–29
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Skalica win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
- 70′We said Skalica at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 16–59–24
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Skalica · On: M. Gulisek · Off: M. Masik
- 76′We said Skalica at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 13–68–19
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Liptovský Mikuláš · On: E. Okonji · Off: A. Daneji
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Skalica win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Liptovský Mikuláš · On: S. Mojcak · Off: L. Laura
- 81′We said Skalica at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 9–77–13
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Skalica · On: R. Potocny · Off: E. Eshele
- 85′We said Skalica at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 6–85–9
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Skalica win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
- 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Skalica
- 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 49%. 0–0 · 20–49–31
- 91′We said Skalica at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–93–4
- 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 0–0 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Liptovský Mikuláš 0–0 Skalica
- FTLiptovský Mikuláš 0–0 Skalica after 90 minutes, as graded · Skalica win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Skalica are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Liptovský Mikuláš 26%, draw 25%, Skalica 48%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Liptovský Mikuláš win26%
Skalica win48%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 16:00
RoundRound of 32
Match timeline
All events
Liptovský MikulášMIN
SkalicaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Liptovský Mikuláš
Skalica
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Liptovský Mikuláš
Skalica
Last match: 16 Oct · 2. liga
Last match: 17 Oct · the Slovak Super Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Liptovský Mikuláš
Formation not confirmed
30 A. Slancik
22 S. Chlepko
28 M. Piter-Bucko
23 T. Hak
4 P. Majercik
21 S. Kucharik
6 M. Sot
10 R. Bartos
27 A. Daneji
11 T. Stas
19 L. Laura
Coach · Marek Petrus
Substitutes
1 · J. Novak
14 · L. Fedor
8 · T. Gerat
20 · Rafael Freitas
24 · L. Jendrek
7 · A. Macejko
17 · E. Okonji
15 · S. Mojcak
Skalica
Formation not confirmed
1 R. Ludha
8 L. Simko
20 O. Podhorin
4 M. Macorig
13 S. Sula
5 M. Ryzek
19 M. Masik
11 A. Krizan
30 A. Abdullahi
21 A. Ravas
34 E. Eshele
Coach · Stanislav Macek
Substitutes
39 · M. Junas
6 · P. Karhan
26 · P. Guinari
27 · D. Baris
91 · R. Potocny
23 · E. Daniel
3 · M. Cernek
9 · A. Morong
14 · M. Gulisek
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Liptovský Mikuláš
Formation not confirmed
30 A. Slancik
22 S. Chlepko
28 M. Piter-Bucko
23 T. Hak
4 P. Majercik
21 S. Kucharik
6 M. Sot
10 R. Bartos
27 A. Daneji
11 T. Stas
19 L. Laura
Coach · Marek Petrus
Substitutes
1 · J. Novak
14 · L. Fedor
8 · T. Gerat
20 · Rafael Freitas
24 · L. Jendrek
7 · A. Macejko
17 · E. Okonji
15 · S. Mojcak
Skalica
Formation not confirmed
1 R. Ludha
8 L. Simko
20 O. Podhorin
4 M. Macorig
13 S. Sula
5 M. Ryzek
19 M. Masik
11 A. Krizan
30 A. Abdullahi
21 A. Ravas
34 E. Eshele
Coach · Stanislav Macek
Substitutes
39 · M. Junas
6 · P. Karhan
26 · P. Guinari
27 · D. Baris
91 · R. Potocny
23 · E. Daniel
3 · M. Cernek
9 · A. Morong
14 · M. Gulisek
We make Skalica a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 49%, 48% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liptovský Mikuláš win | 26% | 30% | −4 |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | −2 |
| Skalica win | 48% | 43% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 51% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 56% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 74% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 33% | −3 |
| Liptovský Mikuláš or draw | 52% | 57% | −5 |
| Liptovský Mikuláš clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
| Skalica clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 19 Aug
LIPTOVSKÝ MIKULÁŠ
SKALICA