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Čadca v Tatran Prešov

Čadca

3–0Full time

Tatran Prešov

Cup · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 17:00

Čadca 3–0 Tatran Prešov TATRAN PREŠOV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tatran Prešov win~~71%

~~The market said~~62%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.321

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.123

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Tatran Prešov win at 71%.
1′Much as we predicted: Tatran Prešov was 71% before kick-off and our model makes it 71% now. 0–0 · 12–17–71
1′KICK-OFF Čadca v Tatran Prešov
3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Čadca 1–0 Tatran Prešov
5′Čadca find the net on 3′. 1–0. 1–0 · 30–23–47
5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Tatran Prešov win: 71% at kick-off, 47% now
7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Čadca 2–0 Tatran Prešov
18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Čadca 3–0 Tatran Prešov
20′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Čadca
26′18′ and it is 3–0: Čadca have scored. 3–0 · 83–11–6
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Tatran Prešov win: 71% at kick-off, 6% now
26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Čadca win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Tatran Prešov win 6%)
29′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Čadca
31′We said Tatran Prešov at 71%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 3–0 · 85–10–5
40′⚽ GOAL · 3' Čadca 3–0 Tatran Prešov
40′⚽ GOAL · 7' Čadca 3–0 Tatran Prešov
40′⚽ GOAL · 18' Čadca 3–0 Tatran Prešov
40′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Čadca
40′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Čadca
41′⚽ GOAL · 3' Čadca 3–0 Tatran Prešov
41′⚽ GOAL · 7' Čadca 3–0 Tatran Prešov
41′⚽ GOAL · 18' Čadca 3–0 Tatran Prešov
41′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Čadca
41′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Čadca
45′HALF-TIME Čadca 3–0 Tatran Prešov
46′SECOND HALF Čadca 3–0 Tatran Prešov
60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Tatran Prešov
68′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Čadca
FTFULL TIME Čadca 3–0 Tatran Prešov
FTČadca 3–0 Tatran Prešov · Tatran Prešov win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 13:24 · locked at kick-off

Čadca win11%

Draw17%

Tatran Prešov win71%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 14:00

Line-ups

Čadca

Tatran Prešov

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Čadca

Tatran Prešov

41Days since last match41

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Tatran Prešov	2	+11	6
6	Čadca	2	+9	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Čadca

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Teplan

14 F. Tatar

2 M. Vala

3 A. Strba

8 P. Lacko

13 S. Laton

15 T. Pantok

17 M. Ponist

19 D. Targos

22 M. Sevcik

27 J. Kubala

Coach · Š. Kavuliak

Substitutes

33 · M. Hlava

10 · L. Seron

7 · D. Satina

9 · L. Gorelcik

16 · A. Ceniga

6 · M. Oravec

5 · Guilherme

25 · R. Arinaga

20 · A. Kubos

Tatran Prešov

Formation not confirmed

83 A. Stapinsky

24 M. Terpak

31 J. Menich

20 A. Ukhan

80 L. Sagna

79 D. Griger

3 M. Siplak

17 R. Leuta

10 Ricardo Goncalves

29 S. Sabolcik

27 J. Tecl

Coach · Erik Havrila

Substitutes

88 · D. Suchy

21 · M. Gomola

66 · R. Repasky

9 · M. Regali

77 · M. Franko

14 · R. Hrncar

22 · R. Zupa

1 · A. Knurovsky

5 · D. Cumitta

Our number · tatran prešov winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 13:24 · locked at kick-off

71% The market62%

Us71%

~~Market~~62%

We make Tatran Prešov a 71% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–2.4.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · tatran prešov win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Čadca win	11%	17%	−5
Draw	17%	21%	−4
Tatran Prešov win	71%	62%	+9
Over 2.5 goals	63%	64%	0
Both teams to score	53%	59%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	84%	82%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	41%	43%	−2
Čadca or draw	29%	38%	−9
Čadca clean sheet	9%	–	–
Tatran Prešov clean sheet	42%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 11.0%

0123450 4.1 8.9 11.0 8.8 5.3 2.51 3.0 8.2 9.5 7.6 4.6 2.22 3.4 4.1 3.3 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Čadca down, Tatran Prešov across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates every club on one scale from 408,274 league, cup and continental matches in 638 leagues up to 13 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Čadca play in the 3. liga - Center, Tatran Prešov in the Super Liga.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Čadca are at home.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two in this competition, so this step adds nothing.

What the model expects

0.87 goals for Čadca, 2.40 for Tatran Prešov. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Cup since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Cup

ČADCA

WLWDWW2–0 · 0–3 · 7–2 · 1–1 · 7–0 · 3–1

TATRAN PREŠOV

WWDDWW2–1 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 8–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Podbrezová	3	+6	9
2	Žilina	2	+13	6
3	FK Košice	2	+12	6
4	Tatran Prešov	2	+11	6
5	Slovan Bratislava	2	+10	6
6	Čadca	2	+9	6
7	AS Trencin	2	+8	6
8	Lokomotíva Zvolen	2	+8	6
9	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	2	+7	6
10	Komárno	2	+7	6
11	Lokomotíva Košice	2	+7	6
12	Ružomberok	2	+7	6
13	Pohronie	2	+6	6
14	Svätý Jur	2	+5	6
15	Spartak Trnava	2	+5	6
16	Zemplín Michalovce	2	+5	6
17	Veľké Ludince	2	+4	6
18	Skalica	2	+4	6
19	Dukla Banská Bystrica	2	+4	6
20	Považská Bystrica	2	+3	6
21	Spartak Myjava	2	+3	6
22	Liptovský Mikuláš	2	+3	6
23	Inter Bratislava	3	+2	6
24	Šamorín	2	+2	6
25	Piešťany	2	+7	4
26	MSK Tesla Stropkov	2	+5	4
27	Petržalka	2	+4	4
28	Námestovo	2	+4	4
29	Nové Zámky	2	+2	4
30	Nová Baňa	2	+2	4
31	Beluša	2	+2	4
32	Zlaté Moravce	2	+2	4
33	MFK Bytča	2	+2	4
34	Vranov nad Topľou	2	+1	4
35	Humenné	2	+1	4
36	Kostolné Kračany	2	+1	4
37	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	2	+1	4
38	Dunajska Streda	2	+12	3
39	Partizán Bardejov	2	+3	3
40	Dunajská Lužná	2	+3	3
41	Novohrad Lučenec	2	+3	3
42	Spišská Nová Ves	2	+3	3
43	Galanta	2	+2	3
44	Fiľakovo	2	+2	3
45	Rača	2	+2	3
46	Boleráz	1	+2	3
47	Tomášov	2	+1	3
48	Fomat Martin	2	0	3
49	Druzstevnik Latky	2	0	3
50	Baník Prievidza	2	0	3
51	Oravské Veselé	2	0	3
52	Púchov	2	0	3
53	Kysucké Nové Mesto	2	0	3
54	Nitra	2	0	3
55	Slávia TU Košice	2	0	3
56	Poprad	2	0	3
57	Brezno	2	−1	3
58	Šoporňa	2	−1	3
59	Spartak Medzev	2	−1	3
60	Slovan Vavrečka	2	−3	3
61	Zahradne	1	0	1
62	Ostrovany	1	0	1
63	Sokol Brezovica	1	0	1
64	Hranovnica	1	0	1
65	Podkonice	1	0	1
66	Levoča	2	−2	1
67	Tatran Krásno	2	−2	1
68	Harichovce	2	−7	1
69	Slovan Kendice	2	−8	1
70	Jelka	1	−1	0
71	Malženice	1	−1	0
72	Partizán Osrblie	1	−1	0
73	Rožňava	1	−1	0
74	Snina	1	−1	0
75	Gerlachov	1	−1	0
76	Kovarce	1	−1	0
77	Nové Mesto nad Váhom	1	−1	0
78	Rohožník	1	−1	0
79	Dynamo Diviaky	1	−2	0
80	Gabčíkovo	1	−2	0
81	Holíč	1	−2	0
82	Priehrada	1	−2	0
83	Príbelce	1	−2	0
84	Rovnost Krajne	1	−2	0
85	Dolné Krškany	1	−2	0
86	Družstevník Bešeňov	1	−2	0
87	Lovca	1	−2	0
88	Oravan	1	−2	0
89	Priechod	1	−2	0
90	Rosina	1	−2	0
91	Sokol Borský Mikuláš	1	−2	0
92	Starý Smokovec	1	−2	0
93	Tvrdošín	1	−2	0
94	Závažná Poruba	1	−2	0
95	Spartak Kvašov	1	−3	0
96	Baník Kalinovo	1	−3	0
97	Jakubov	1	−3	0
98	Vycapy Opatovce	1	−3	0
99	Zitavany	1	−3	0
100	Bernolákovo	1	−3	0
101	Družstevník Čirč	1	−3	0
102	Kechnec	1	−3	0
103	Rudňany	1	−3	0
104	Trenčianske Stankovce	1	−3	0
105	V. Kapusany	1	−3	0
106	Slovan Giraltovce	1	−4	0
107	Malinovo	1	−4	0
108	Nová Dedinka	1	−4	0
109	Geča	1	−4	0
110	Hronec	1	−4	0
111	Kováčová	1	−4	0
112	Vinohrad Čebovce	1	−4	0
113	Višňové	1	−4	0
114	Čaňa	1	−4	0
115	Šenkvice	1	−4	0
116	Cicarovce	1	−5	0
117	FC Topoľčany	1	−5	0
118	Raslavice	1	−5	0
119	Slovan Halic	1	−5	0
120	Slovan Tomášovce	1	−5	0
121	Spišské Podhradie	1	−5	0
122	Jednota Bánová	1	−6	0
123	Kopčany	1	−7	0
124	Kysučan Korňa	1	−7	0
125	Divina	1	−8	0
126	Slovan Nitra-Chrenová	1	−8	0
127	Svaty Peter	1	−13	0