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Veľké Ludince v MŠK Senec

Veľké Ludince

3–1Full time

MŠK Senec

3. liga - West · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Veľké Ludince 3–1 MŠK Senec VEĽKÉ LUDINCE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Veľké Ludince win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.464

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Veľké Ludince win44%

Draw26%

MŠK Senec win30%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · veľké ludince winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Veľké Ludince a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Veľké Ludince win	44%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
MŠK Senec win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Veľké Ludince or draw	70%	–	–
Veľké Ludince clean sheet	28%	–	–
MŠK Senec clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 6.6 6.5 4.6 1 8.3 11.9 7.1 3.1 2 7.2 8.9 5.6 2.4 3 3.9 4.8 3.1 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Veľké Ludince down, MŠK Senec across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,354 3. liga - West matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.3% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Veľké Ludince at home: 1.50 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). MŠK Senec away: 1.00 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.62 goals for Veľké Ludince, 1.28 for MŠK Senec. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VEL 2–1 MSK · MSK 4–1 VEL

Form · last six in 3. liga - West

VEĽKÉ LUDINCE

DLWLDL1–1 · 0–5 · 3–1 · 1–5 · 2–2 · 2–5

MŠK SENEC

LLLWLL1–3 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–5 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	9	+23	25
2	Púchov	9	+13	18
3	Spartak Myjava	10	+7	18
4	Beluša	9	+8	16
5	Dunajská Lužná	9	+2	15
6	Gabčíkovo	9	+2	14
7	Trenčín II	9	+2	13
8	Baník Prievidza	9	0	12
9	Nové Zámky	9	−5	12
10	DAC II	9	+4	11
11	Rača	9	−2	10
12	MŠK Senec	9	−9	9
13	Častkovce	10	−8	8
14	Komárno II	9	−13	8
15	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	9	−9	6
16	Veľké Ludince	9	−15	6