Home › Football › 3. liga - West › Trenčín II v MŠK Senec

Trenčín II v MŠK Senec

Trenčín II

09:30Upcoming

MŠK Senec

3. liga - West · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Trenčín IIDrawMŠK Senec

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 09:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Trenčín II 63%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Trenčín II are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Trenčín II 63%, draw 19%, MŠK Senec 17%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Trenčín II v MŠK SenecBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Trenčín II win63%

Draw19%

MŠK Senec win17%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 09:30

RoundWest · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Trenčín II

MŠK Senec

8Days since last match4

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - West

Last match: 21 Oct · 3. liga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Trenčín II	11	+1	14
12	MŠK Senec	12	−10	13

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · trenčín ii winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

63% The market–

Us63%

We make Trenčín II a 63% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Trenčín II v MŠK Senec~~2.40 – 1.18

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 11 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 14 v 13~~10 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Trenčín II win	63%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
MŠK Senec win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Trenčín II or draw	83%	–	–
Trenčín II clean sheet	31%	–	–
MŠK Senec clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.5 3.0 2.1 1 6.5 8.3 4.6 2 8.0 9.2 5.4 2.2 3 6.3 7.2 4.2 4 3.8 4.4 2.6 5 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Trenčín II down, MŠK Senec across0–5 goals a side shown (95.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,371 3. liga - West matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.9% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Trenčín II at home: 2.17 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). MŠK Senec away: 1.17 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.40 goals for Trenčín II, 1.18 for MŠK Senec. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~TRE 1–1 MSK · MSK 3–0 TRE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 11 Sept

TRENČÍN II

LWWLDL0–2 · 5–1 · 5–2 · 2–4 · 1–1 · 2–3

MŠK SENEC

WLLLWD1–0 · 0–5 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	11	+31	31
2	Dunajská Lužná	11	+6	21
3	Púchov	11	+11	19
4	Spartak Myjava	12	+6	19
5	Beluša	12	+6	18
6	Gabčíkovo	11	+2	17
7	Baník Prievidza	11	+1	16
8	DAC II	12	+3	15
9	Nové Zámky	11	−5	15
10	Trenčín II	11	+1	14
11	Komárno II	11	−9	14
12	MŠK Senec	12	−10	13
13	Častkovce	11	−7	11
14	Rača	11	−11	10
15	Veľké Ludince	11	−14	9
16	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	11	−11	6