Trenčín II v Beluša prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 01:30

Trenčín II 1–1 Beluša TRENČÍN II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Trenčín II win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.946

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Trenčín II win48%

Draw21%

Beluša win31%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 09:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Trenčín II

Beluša

7Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Beluša	9	+8	16
8	Trenčín II	9	+2	13

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · trenčín ii winPublished 11 Oct 23:32

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Trenčín II a 48% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Trenčín II win	48%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Beluša win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	72%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
Trenčín II or draw	69%	–	–
Trenčín II clean sheet	19%	–	–
Beluša clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.1%

0123450 2.8 3.1 3.1 1 4.1 8.1 6.4 3.7 2 4.9 8.0 6.7 3.9 3 3.5 5.8 4.9 2.8 4 3.2 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Trenčín II down, Beluša across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,359 3. liga - West matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.5% of games this season, across 78 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Trenčín II at home: 2.33 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Beluša away: 2.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.18 goals for Trenčín II, 1.73 for Beluša. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BEL 1–0 TRE · TRE 4–1 BEL

Form · last six in 3. liga - West

TRENČÍN II

LLLWWL0–1 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 5–1 · 5–2 · 2–4

BELUŠA

WDLDDD5–0 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	10	+29	28
2	Púchov	10	+13	19
3	Spartak Myjava	10	+7	18
4	Dunajská Lužná	10	+5	18
5	Beluša	9	+8	16
6	Nové Zámky	10	−4	15
7	Gabčíkovo	10	+1	14
8	Trenčín II	9	+2	13
9	Baník Prievidza	10	0	13
10	DAC II	10	+1	11
11	Rača	10	−8	10
12	MŠK Senec	10	−11	9
13	Veľké Ludince	10	−13	9
14	Častkovce	10	−8	8
15	Komárno II	9	−13	8
16	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	9	−9	6