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Spartak Myjava v Častkovce

Spartak Myjava

5–0Full time

Častkovce

3. liga - West · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 01:30

Spartak Myjava 5–0 Častkovce SPARTAK MYJAVA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Spartak Myjava win~~67%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.160

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Spartak Myjava win67%

Draw19%

Častkovce win14%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spartak myjava winPublished 9 Oct 23:31

67% The market–

Us67%

We make Spartak Myjava a 67% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Spartak Myjava win	67%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Častkovce win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Spartak Myjava or draw	86%	–	–
Spartak Myjava clean sheet	39%	–	–
Častkovce clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.0%

0123450 4.4 3.1 1 8.2 8.7 3.9 2 10.0 9.3 4.5 3 7.8 7.2 3.5 4 4.7 4.3 2.1 5 2.3 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Spartak Myjava down, Častkovce across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,353 3. liga - West matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.7% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 2.67 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Spartak Myjava at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Častkovce away: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.37 goals for Spartak Myjava, 0.96 for Častkovce. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.67

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~CAS 0–0 SPA · SPA 2–0 CAS · SPA 3–0 CAS · CAS 1–3 SPA

Form · last six in 3. liga - West

SPARTAK MYJAVA

DLWDWW1–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 1–0

ČASTKOVCE

WDDWLL3–1 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	9	+23	25
2	Púchov	9	+13	18
3	Beluša	9	+8	16
4	Spartak Myjava	9	+2	15
5	Dunajská Lužná	9	+2	15
6	Gabčíkovo	9	+2	14
7	Trenčín II	9	+2	13
8	Baník Prievidza	9	0	12
9	Nové Zámky	9	−5	12
10	DAC II	9	+4	11
11	Rača	9	−2	10
12	MŠK Senec	9	−9	9
13	Častkovce	9	−3	8
14	Komárno II	9	−13	8
15	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	9	−9	6
16	Veľké Ludince	9	−15	6