Rača v Komárno II prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

Rača 0–3 Komárno II RAČA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Rača win~~62%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.118

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rača are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rača 62%, draw 21%, Komárno II 17%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Rača v Komárno IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Rača win62%

Draw21%

Komárno II win17%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 09:30

RoundWest · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rača

Komárno II

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - West

Last match: 11 Oct · 3. liga - West

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Komárno II	10	−12	11
14	Rača	10	−8	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rača winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

62% The market–

Us62%

We make Rača a 62% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rača v Komárno II~~2.17 – 1.04

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 4 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 11~~14 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rača win	62%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Komárno II win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Rača or draw	83%	–	–
Rača clean sheet	36%	–	–
Komárno II clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%

0123450 4.9 3.9 2.3 1 8.5 9.5 4.7 2 9.5 9.5 4.9 3 6.8 6.8 3.5 4 3.7 3.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rača down, Komárno II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,366 3. liga - West matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.8% of games this season, across 85 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rača at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Komárno II away: 1.17 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.17 goals for Rača, 1.04 for Komárno II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~RAC 1–1 KOM · KOM 3–1 RAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 4 Sept

RAČA

WDWDDL1–0 · 3–3 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 0–6

KOMÁRNO II

WWLLLW1–0 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 1–4 · 0–4 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	10	+29	28
2	Dunajská Lužná	11	+6	21
3	Púchov	10	+13	19
4	Spartak Myjava	11	+6	18
5	Beluša	10	+8	17
6	Gabčíkovo	11	+2	17
7	Baník Prievidza	11	+1	16
8	Nové Zámky	11	−5	15
9	Trenčín II	11	+1	14
10	MŠK Senec	11	−10	12
11	DAC II	10	+1	11
12	Častkovce	11	−7	11
13	Komárno II	10	−12	11
14	Rača	10	−8	10
15	Veľké Ludince	11	−14	9
16	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	11	−11	6