Púchov v Slovan Duslo Šaľa prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

Púchov 4–0 Slovan Duslo Šaľa PÚCHOV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Púchov win~~65%

~~The market said~~73%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.182

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.113

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Púchov are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Púchov 65%, draw 21%, Slovan Duslo Šaľa 14%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Púchov v Slovan Duslo ŠaľaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Púchov win65%

Draw21%

Slovan Duslo Šaľa win14%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:30

RoundWest · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Púchov

Slovan Duslo Šaľa

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - West

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Púchov	11	+11	19
16	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	11	−11	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · púchov winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 01:53 · locked at kick-off

65% The market73%

Us65%

~~Market~~73%

We make Púchov a 65% chance to win. The market has them at 73%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Púchov v Slovan Duslo Šaľa~~2.14 – 0.87

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 19 v 6~~3 v 16

~~The market · Púchov win~~73% · ours 65%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Púchov win The market, margin stripped

Published at 67%, 65% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 73% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Púchov win	65%	73%	−8
Draw	21%	17%	+4
Slovan Duslo Šaľa win	14%	10%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	57%	63%	−6
Both teams to score	51%	50%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	80%	82%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	36%	43%	−7
Púchov or draw	86%	90%	−4
Púchov clean sheet	42%	–	–
Slovan Duslo Šaľa clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.1%

0123450 5.8 4.0 1 10.2 9.6 4.0 2 11.1 9.4 4.1 3 7.8 6.7 2.9 4 4.3 3.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Púchov down, Slovan Duslo Šaľa across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,371 3. liga - West matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.9% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Púchov at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Slovan Duslo Šaľa away: 0.50 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.14 goals for Púchov, 0.87 for Slovan Duslo Šaľa. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 12 Sept

PÚCHOV

WDWWDL2–0 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–2

SLOVAN DUSLO ŠAĽA

LDLDLL1–2 · 0–0 · 0–4 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	11	+31	31
2	Dunajská Lužná	11	+6	21
3	Púchov	11	+11	19
4	Spartak Myjava	12	+6	19
5	Beluša	12	+6	18
6	Gabčíkovo	11	+2	17
7	Baník Prievidza	11	+1	16
8	DAC II	12	+3	15
9	Nové Zámky	11	−5	15
10	Trenčín II	11	+1	14
11	Komárno II	11	−9	14
12	MŠK Senec	12	−10	13
13	Častkovce	11	−7	11
14	Rača	11	−11	10
15	Veľké Ludince	11	−14	9
16	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	11	−11	6