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Model 1.1

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Púchov v Baník Prievidza

Púchov
1–1Full time
Baník Prievidza

3. liga - West · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30
Púchov 1–1 Baník Prievidza PÚCHOV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Púchov win61%
The market said67%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.028
The market’s Brier score1.117

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Púchov win61%
Draw21%
Baník Prievidza win18%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · púchov winPublished 10 Oct 23:45
61% The market67%
Us61%
Market67%

We make Púchov a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 67%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65%70% 9 OCT 06:2010 OCT 11:21
Our probability · púchov win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 67% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Púchov win61%67%−6
Draw21%19%+2
Baník Prievidza win18%14%+4
Over 2.5 goals64%64%0
Both teams to score59%56%+3
Over 1.5 goals84%82%+2
Over 3.5 goals42%44%−2
Púchov or draw82%86%−4
Púchov clean sheet33%––
Baník Prievidza clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%
0123450 4.6 3.7 2.4 1 7.6 9.4 4.9 2 8.7 9.4 5.2 3 6.3 6.8 3.8 4 3.5 3.8 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Púchov down, Baník Prievidza across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. liga - West

PÚCHOV

LWWDWW0–1 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 2–1

BANÍK PRIEVIDZA

LWWLWL0–2 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 4–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nitra9+2325
2Púchov9+1318
3Spartak Myjava10+718
4Beluša9+816
5Dunajská Lužná9+215
6Gabčíkovo9+214
7Trenčín II9+213
8Baník Prievidza9012
9Nové Zámky9−512
10DAC II9+411
11Rača9−210
12MŠK Senec9−99
13Častkovce10−88
14Komárno II9−138
15Slovan Duslo Šaľa9−96
16Veľké Ludince9−156

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-10 18:24 UTC.