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Nové Zámky v Gabčíkovo

Nové Zámky

2–1Full time

Gabčíkovo

3. liga - West · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Nové Zámky 2–1 Gabčíkovo NOVÉ ZÁMKY WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Nové Zámky win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.434

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Nové Zámky win46%

Draw25%

Gabčíkovo win29%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nové zámky winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Nové Zámky a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nové Zámky win	46%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Gabčíkovo win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Nové Zámky or draw	71%	–	–
Nové Zámky clean sheet	27%	–	–
Gabčíkovo clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 5.8 5.7 4.2 1 7.7 11.3 7.0 3.1 2 7.1 9.0 5.9 2.6 3 4.1 5.2 3.4 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nové Zámky down, Gabčíkovo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,354 3. liga - West matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.3% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Nové Zámky at home: 1.83 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Gabčíkovo away: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Nové Zámky, 1.32 for Gabčíkovo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~GAB 2–2 NOV · NOV 2–1 GAB

Form · last six in 3. liga - West

NOVÉ ZÁMKY

WWLLLD1–0 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 1–5 · 2–5 · 0–0

GABČÍKOVO

WLDDLW2–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 5–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	9	+23	25
2	Púchov	9	+13	18
3	Spartak Myjava	10	+7	18
4	Beluša	9	+8	16
5	Dunajská Lužná	9	+2	15
6	Gabčíkovo	9	+2	14
7	Trenčín II	9	+2	13
8	Baník Prievidza	9	0	12
9	Nové Zámky	9	−5	12
10	DAC II	9	+4	11
11	Rača	9	−2	10
12	MŠK Senec	9	−9	9
13	Častkovce	10	−8	8
14	Komárno II	9	−13	8
15	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	9	−9	6
16	Veľké Ludince	9	−15	6