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Nové Zámky v Častkovce

Nové Zámky

12:30Result not confirmed

Častkovce

3. liga - West · SAT 24 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Nové ZámkyDrawČastkovce

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Nové Zámky 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nové Zámky are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nové Zámky 54%, draw 22%, Častkovce 24%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Nové Zámky v ČastkovceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Nové Zámky win54%

Draw22%

Častkovce win24%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:30

RoundWest · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nové Zámky

Častkovce

8Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · 3. liga - West

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - West

3Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Nové Zámky	11	−5	15
13	Častkovce	11	−7	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nové zámky winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Nové Zámky a 54% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nové Zámky v Častkovce~~2.02 – 1.27

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 15 v 11~~9 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Nové Zámky win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nové Zámky win	54%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Častkovce win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Nové Zámky or draw	76%	–	–
Nové Zámky clean sheet	29%	–	–
Častkovce clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 4.6 4.4 3.1 1 7.2 10.0 6.0 2.6 2 7.5 9.3 5.9 2.5 3 5.0 6.2 3.9 4 2.6 3.2 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nové Zámky down, Častkovce across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,371 3. liga - West matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.9% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 7 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Nové Zámky at home: 1.50 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Častkovce away: 1.50 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.02 goals for Nové Zámky, 1.27 for Častkovce. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~NOV 2–1 CAS · CAS 4–1 NOV · NOV 2–1 CAS · CAS 0–2 NOV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 12 Sept

NOVÉ ZÁMKY

LLLDWL1–3 · 1–5 · 2–5 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–1

ČASTKOVCE

DWLLLW3–3 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 0–5 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	11	+31	31
2	Dunajská Lužná	11	+6	21
3	Púchov	11	+11	19
4	Spartak Myjava	12	+6	19
5	Beluša	12	+6	18
6	Gabčíkovo	11	+2	17
7	Baník Prievidza	11	+1	16
8	DAC II	12	+3	15
9	Nové Zámky	11	−5	15
10	Trenčín II	11	+1	14
11	Komárno II	11	−9	14
12	MŠK Senec	12	−10	13
13	Častkovce	11	−7	11
14	Rača	11	−11	10
15	Veľké Ludince	11	−14	9
16	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	11	−11	6