Nitra v Komárno II prediction · 3. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

NitraDrawKomárno II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Nitra 91%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nitra are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nitra 91%, draw 6%, Komárno II 3%. Over 2.5 goals 89%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Nitra v Komárno IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Nitra win91%

Draw6%

Komárno II win3%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:30

RoundWest · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nitra

Komárno II

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	11	+31	31
11	Komárno II	11	−9	14

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nitra winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

91% The market–

Us91%

We make Nitra a 91% chance to win. The model expects 4.6–0.8, and 4–0 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nitra v Komárno II~~4.62 – 0.84

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 12 Sept~~W6 D0 L0 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 31 v 14~~1 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nitra win	91%	–	–
Draw	6%	–	–
Komárno II win	3%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	89%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	96%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	76%	–	–
Nitra or draw	97%	–	–
Nitra clean sheet	44%	–	–
Komárno II clean sheet	2%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 4–0 at 7.5%

0123450 1 2.5 2.3 2 5.2 4.3 3 7.1 5.9 2.5 4 7.5 6.2 2.6 5 6.6 5.4 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Nitra down, Komárno II across0–5 goals a side shown (68.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,371 3. liga - West matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.9% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Nitra at home: 2.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Komárno II away: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

4.62 goals for Nitra, 0.84 for Komárno II. Most likely score 4–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 12 Sept

NITRA

WWWWWW2–1 · 5–1 · 4–0 · 4–2 · 6–0 · 4–2

KOMÁRNO II

WLLLWW2–1 · 2–3 · 1–4 · 0–4 · 1–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	11	+31	31
2	Dunajská Lužná	11	+6	21
3	Púchov	11	+11	19
4	Spartak Myjava	12	+6	19
5	Beluša	12	+6	18
6	Gabčíkovo	11	+2	17
7	Baník Prievidza	11	+1	16
8	DAC II	12	+3	15
9	Nové Zámky	11	−5	15
10	Trenčín II	11	+1	14
11	Komárno II	11	−9	14
12	MŠK Senec	12	−10	13
13	Častkovce	11	−7	11
14	Rača	11	−11	10
15	Veľké Ludince	11	−14	9
16	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	11	−11	6