Gabčíkovo v Trenčín II prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Gabčíkovo 3–2 Trenčín II GABČÍKOVO WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Gabčíkovo win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.377

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gabčíkovo are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gabčíkovo 50%, draw 21%, Trenčín II 29%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Gabčíkovo v Trenčín IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Gabčíkovo win50%

Draw21%

Trenčín II win29%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundWest · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gabčíkovo

Trenčín II

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - West

Last match: 11 Oct · 3. liga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Trenčín II	10	+2	14
8	Gabčíkovo	10	+1	14

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gabčíkovo winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Gabčíkovo a 50% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Gabčíkovo v Trenčín II~~2.29 – 1.73

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 4 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 14 v 14~~8 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gabčíkovo win	50%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Trenčín II win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	76%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	57%	–	–
Gabčíkovo or draw	71%	–	–
Gabčíkovo clean sheet	18%	–	–
Trenčín II clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.9%

0123450 2.5 2.8 2.8 1 3.9 7.6 6.1 3.5 2 4.8 7.9 6.7 3.9 3 3.6 6.0 5.1 2.9 4 2.1 3.5 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Gabčíkovo down, Trenčín II across0–5 goals a side shown (95.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,362 3. liga - West matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.3% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Gabčíkovo at home: 2.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Trenčín II away: 1.83 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.29 goals for Gabčíkovo, 1.73 for Trenčín II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~TRE 1–1 GAB · GAB 2–1 TRE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 4 Sept

GABČÍKOVO

LDDLWL0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 5–2 · 1–2

TRENČÍN II

LLWWLD0–3 · 0–2 · 5–1 · 5–2 · 2–4 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	10	+29	28
2	Púchov	10	+13	19
3	Spartak Myjava	10	+7	18
4	Dunajská Lužná	10	+5	18
5	Beluša	10	+8	17
6	Nové Zámky	11	−5	15
7	Trenčín II	10	+2	14
8	Gabčíkovo	10	+1	14
9	Baník Prievidza	10	0	13
10	MŠK Senec	11	−10	12
11	DAC II	10	+1	11
12	Komárno II	10	−12	11
13	Rača	10	−8	10
14	Veľké Ludince	10	−13	9
15	Častkovce	10	−8	8
16	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	10	−10	6