DAC II v Púchov prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

DAC II 2–0 Púchov PÚCHOV WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Púchov win~~37%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.618

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Púchov just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: DAC II 36%, draw 27%, Púchov 37%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on DAC II v PúchovBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

DAC II win36%

Draw27%

Púchov win37%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 09:30

RoundWest · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

DAC II

Púchov

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Púchov	10	+13	19
11	DAC II	10	+1	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · púchov winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Púchov a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · DAC II v Púchov~~1.31 – 1.32

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 4 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 11 v 19~~11 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
DAC II win	36%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Púchov win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
DAC II or draw	63%	–	–
DAC II clean sheet	28%	–	–
Púchov clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%

0123450 8.4 9.0 6.3 2.8 1 8.9 12.8 7.9 3.5 2 6.2 7.8 5.1 2.3 3 2.8 3.5 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+DAC II down, Púchov across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,366 3. liga - West matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.8% of games this season, across 85 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

DAC II at home: 1.83 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Púchov away: 2.25 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.31 goals for DAC II, 1.32 for Púchov. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 4 Sept

DAC II

LLDDWL2–3 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 4–0 · 0–3

PÚCHOV

WWDWWD3–0 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	10	+29	28
2	Dunajská Lužná	11	+6	21
3	Púchov	10	+13	19
4	Spartak Myjava	11	+6	18
5	Beluša	10	+8	17
6	Gabčíkovo	11	+2	17
7	Baník Prievidza	11	+1	16
8	Nové Zámky	11	−5	15
9	Trenčín II	11	+1	14
10	MŠK Senec	11	−10	12
11	DAC II	10	+1	11
12	Častkovce	11	−7	11
13	Komárno II	10	−12	11
14	Rača	10	−8	10
15	Veľké Ludince	11	−14	9
16	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	11	−11	6