Častkovce v Veľké Ludince prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Častkovce 1–0 Veľké Ludince ČASTKOVCE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Častkovce win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.245

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Častkovce are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Častkovce 60%, draw 19%, Veľké Ludince 21%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Častkovce v Veľké LudinceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Častkovce win60%

Draw19%

Veľké Ludince win21%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundWest · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Častkovce

Veľké Ludince

8Days since last match3

Last match: 9 Oct · 3. liga - West

Last match: 14 Oct · the Slovak Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Veľké Ludince	10	−13	9
15	Častkovce	10	−8	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · častkovce winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Častkovce a 60% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Častkovce v Veľké Ludince~~2.55 – 1.49

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 8 v 9~~15 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Častkovce win	60%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Veľké Ludince win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	–	–
Častkovce or draw	79%	–	–
Častkovce clean sheet	23%	–	–
Veľké Ludince clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.3%

0123450 2.5 2.5 2.1 1 4.4 7.3 4.9 2.5 2 5.8 8.3 6.0 3.0 3 4.8 6.8 5.0 2.5 4 3.0 4.4 3.2 5 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Častkovce down, Veľké Ludince across0–5 goals a side shown (94.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,362 3. liga - West matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.3% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.20 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Častkovce at home: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Veľké Ludince away: 0.83 scored, 3.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.55 goals for Častkovce, 1.49 for Veľké Ludince. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~CAS 2–1 VEL · VEL 1–3 CAS · VEL 1–1 CAS · CAS 0–2 VEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 5 Sept

ČASTKOVCE

DDWLLL1–1 · 3–3 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 0–5

VEĽKÉ LUDINCE

LWLDLW0–5 · 3–1 · 1–5 · 2–2 · 2–5 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	10	+29	28
2	Púchov	10	+13	19
3	Spartak Myjava	10	+7	18
4	Dunajská Lužná	10	+5	18
5	Beluša	10	+8	17
6	Nové Zámky	11	−5	15
7	Trenčín II	10	+2	14
8	Gabčíkovo	10	+1	14
9	Baník Prievidza	10	0	13
10	MŠK Senec	11	−10	12
11	DAC II	10	+1	11
12	Komárno II	10	−12	11
13	Rača	10	−8	10
14	Veľké Ludince	10	−13	9
15	Častkovce	10	−8	8
16	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	10	−10	6