Beluša v Gabčíkovo prediction · 3. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BelušaDrawGabčíkovo

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Beluša 60%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Beluša are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Beluša 60%, draw 21%, Gabčíkovo 19%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Beluša v GabčíkovoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Beluša win60%

Draw21%

Gabčíkovo win19%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:30

RoundWest · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Beluša

Gabčíkovo

4Days since last match8

Last match: 21 Oct · 3. liga - West

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - West

3Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Beluša	12	+6	18
7	Gabčíkovo	11	+2	17

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · beluša winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Beluša a 60% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Beluša v Gabčíkovo~~2.24 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D5 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 18 v 17~~5 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Beluša win	60%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Gabčíkovo win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Beluša or draw	81%	–	–
Beluša clean sheet	31%	–	–
Gabčíkovo clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.3%

0123450 4.0 3.6 2.4 1 7.0 9.1 5.1 2.0 2 8.1 9.3 5.5 2.2 3 6.0 6.9 4.1 4 3.4 3.9 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Beluša down, Gabčíkovo across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,375 3. liga - West matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.6% of games this season, across 94 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Beluša at home: 1.83 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Gabčíkovo away: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.24 goals for Beluša, 1.19 for Gabčíkovo. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~GAB 1–1 BEL · BEL 5–2 GAB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - West this season · since 12 Sept

BELUŠA

DDDDLD0–0 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–4 · 2–2

GABČÍKOVO

DDLWLW1–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 5–2 · 1–2 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nitra	12	+35	34
2	Dunajská Lužná	12	+7	24
3	Púchov	12	+15	22
4	Spartak Myjava	12	+6	19
5	Beluša	12	+6	18
6	Nové Zámky	12	−3	18
7	Gabčíkovo	11	+2	17
8	Baník Prievidza	11	+1	16
9	DAC II	12	+3	15
10	Trenčín II	11	+1	14
11	Komárno II	12	−13	14
12	MŠK Senec	12	−10	13
13	Častkovce	12	−9	11
14	Rača	12	−12	10
15	Veľké Ludince	11	−14	9
16	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	12	−15	6