Vranov nad Topľou v Slovan Sabinov prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Vranov nad Topľou 2–0 Slovan Sabinov VRANOV NAD TOPĽOU WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vranov nad Topľou win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.241

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vranov nad Topľou are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Vranov nad Topľou 60%, draw 23%, Slovan Sabinov 17%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Vranov nad Topľou v Slovan SabinovBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Vranov nad Topľou win60%

Draw23%

Slovan Sabinov win17%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundEast · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vranov nad Topľou

Slovan Sabinov

3Days since last match7

Last match: 14 Oct · the Slovak Cup

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - East

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Vranov nad Topľou	10	−15	10
13	Slovan Sabinov	10	−12	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vranov nad topľou winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Vranov nad Topľou a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Vranov nad Topľou v Slovan Sabinov~~1.86 – 0.86

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - East this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 6~~12 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vranov nad Topľou win	60%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Slovan Sabinov win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Vranov nad Topľou or draw	83%	–	–
Vranov nad Topľou clean sheet	43%	–	–
Slovan Sabinov clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.8%

0123450 7.6 5.3 2.5 1 11.8 10.8 4.4 2 11.2 9.4 4.1 3 7.0 5.9 2.5 4 3.4 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vranov nad Topľou down, Slovan Sabinov across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,182 3. liga - East matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.3% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Vranov nad Topľou at home: 2.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Slovan Sabinov away: 0.50 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.86 goals for Vranov nad Topľou, 0.86 for Slovan Sabinov. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VRA 1–1 SLO · SLO 0–0 VRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - East this season · since 5 Sept

VRANOV NAD TOPĽOU

LWDWLW0–3 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 2–1

SLOVAN SABINOV

LDLDDL0–2 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lokomotíva Košice	10	+13	21
2	Spartak Medzev	10	+6	19
3	Raslavice	10	+1	19
4	Stará Ľubovňa	10	+9	18
5	Lipany	10	+11	17
6	Poprad	10	+4	16
7	Partizán Bardejov	10	+1	16
8	Spišská Nová Ves	10	+1	16
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	10	+4	14
10	Slávia TU Košice	10	+1	13
11	Snina	10	−3	11
12	Vranov nad Topľou	10	−15	10
13	Slovan Sabinov	10	−12	6
14	Kežmarok	10	−21	1