Home › Football › 3. liga - East › Spišská Nová Ves v Spartak Medzev

Spišská Nová Ves v Spartak Medzev

Spišská Nová Ves

1–2Full time

Spartak Medzev

3. liga - East · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Spišská Nová Ves 1–2 Spartak Medzev SPIŠSKÁ NOVÁ VES WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Spišská Nová Ves win~~72%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.342

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Spišská Nová Ves win72%

Draw17%

Spartak Medzev win11%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spišská nová ves winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

72% The market–

Us72%

We make Spišská Nová Ves a 72% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Spišská Nová Ves win	72%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Spartak Medzev win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Spišská Nová Ves or draw	89%	–	–
Spišská Nová Ves clean sheet	42%	–	–
Spartak Medzev clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.3%

0123450 3.9 2.6 1 8.0 7.6 3.3 2 10.3 8.9 4.0 3 8.7 7.5 3.4 4 5.6 4.8 2.2 5 3.0 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Spišská Nová Ves down, Spartak Medzev across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,175 3. liga - East matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.7% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Spišská Nová Ves at home: 1.67 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Spartak Medzev away: 2.17 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.56 goals for Spišská Nová Ves, 0.89 for Spartak Medzev. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SPA 0–4 SPI · SPI 3–1 SPA

Form · last six in 3. liga - East

SPIŠSKÁ NOVÁ VES

DLWLWL2–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 1–2

SPARTAK MEDZEV

WDLWLW3–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 2–6 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Raslavice	9	+2	19
2	Lokomotíva Košice	9	+11	18
3	Stará Ľubovňa	9	+9	17
4	Lipany	9	+11	16
5	Spartak Medzev	9	+5	16
6	Partizán Bardejov	9	+2	16
7	Spišská Nová Ves	9	+2	16
8	Poprad	9	+4	15
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	9	+3	11
10	Slávia TU Košice	9	−1	10
11	Snina	9	−3	10
12	Vranov nad Topľou	9	−16	7
13	Slovan Sabinov	9	−10	6
14	Kežmarok	9	−19	1