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Spišská Nová Ves v Kežmarok

Spišská Nová Ves

12:30Result not confirmed

Kežmarok

3. liga - East · SAT 24 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Spišská Nová VesDrawKežmarok

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Spišská Nová Ves 81%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Spišská Nová Ves are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Spišská Nová Ves 81%, draw 13%, Kežmarok 6%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Spišská Nová Ves v KežmarokBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Spišská Nová Ves win81%

Draw13%

Kežmarok win6%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:30

RoundEast · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Spišská Nová Ves

Kežmarok

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - East

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - East

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Spišská Nová Ves	11	0	16
14	Kežmarok	11	−23	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spišská nová ves winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:12 · locked at kick-off

81% The market–

Us81%

We make Spišská Nová Ves an 81% chance to win. The model expects 2.9–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Spišská Nová Ves v Kežmarok~~2.89 – 0.66

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - East this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 16 v 1~~8 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Spišská Nová Ves win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Spišská Nová Ves win	81%	–	–
Draw	13%	–	–
Kežmarok win	6%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Spišská Nová Ves or draw	94%	–	–
Spišská Nová Ves clean sheet	52%	–	–
Kežmarok clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.8%

0123450 3.4 1 8.3 5.8 2 11.8 7.7 2.6 3 11.1 7.2 2.5 4 8.1 5.2 5 4.8 3.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Spišská Nová Ves down, Kežmarok across0–5 goals a side shown (91.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,189 3. liga - East matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.9% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Spišská Nová Ves at home: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Kežmarok away: 0.67 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.89 goals for Spišská Nová Ves, 0.66 for Kežmarok. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SPI 1–3 KEZ · KEZ 0–2 SPI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - East this season · since 12 Sept

SPIŠSKÁ NOVÁ VES

WLWLLL2–1 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–2

KEŽMAROK

LLLDLL3–4 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lokomotíva Košice	11	+14	24
2	Spartak Medzev	11	+8	22
3	Raslavice	11	+4	22
4	Stará Ľubovňa	11	+11	21
5	Partizán Bardejov	11	+2	19
6	Lipany	11	+8	17
7	Poprad	11	+3	16
8	Spišská Nová Ves	11	0	16
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	11	+2	14
10	Snina	11	−2	14
11	Slávia TU Košice	11	0	13
12	Vranov nad Topľou	11	−13	13
13	Slovan Sabinov	11	−14	6
14	Kežmarok	11	−23	1