Snina v Spišská Nová Ves prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

Snina 2–1 Spišská Nová Ves SPIŠSKÁ NOVÁ VES WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Spišská Nová Ves win~~38%

~~The market said~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.687

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.780

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Spišská Nová Ves are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Snina 33%, draw 29%, Spišská Nová Ves 38%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Snina v Spišská Nová VesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Snina win33%

Draw29%

Spišská Nová Ves win38%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30

RoundEast · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Snina

Spišská Nová Ves

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - East

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Spišská Nová Ves	10	+1	16
12	Snina	10	−3	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spišská nová ves winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

38% The market44%

Us38%

~~Market~~44%

We make Spišská Nová Ves a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Snina v Spišská Nová Ves~~1.10 – 1.21

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - East this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D5 L0 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 11 v 16~~12 v 8

~~The market · Spišská Nová Ves win~~44% · ours 38%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Spišská Nová Ves win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Snina win	33%	29%	+4
Draw	29%	28%	+1
Spišská Nová Ves win	38%	44%	−6
Over 2.5 goals	41%	50%	−9
Both teams to score	47%	55%	−8
Over 1.5 goals	67%	74%	−7
Over 3.5 goals	21%	29%	−8
Snina or draw	62%	56%	+6
Snina clean sheet	30%	–	–
Spišská Nová Ves clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%

0123450 11.1 11.6 7.3 3.0 1 10.3 13.3 7.7 3.2 2 5.9 7.0 4.3 3 2.2 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Snina down, Spišská Nová Ves across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,187 3. liga - East matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.0% of games this season, across 75 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.75 goals a meeting; 2 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Snina at home: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Spišská Nová Ves away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for Snina, 1.21 for Spišská Nová Ves. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.75

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 8

~~Both scored~~3 of 8

~~Last meetings~~SNI 0–2 SPI · SPI 3–0 SNI · SNI 3–1 SPI · SPI 0–0 SNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - East this season · since 5 Sept

SNINA

WDDDDD3–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 3–3 · 1–1

SPIŠSKÁ NOVÁ VES

LWLWLL0–1 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lokomotíva Košice	11	+14	24
2	Spartak Medzev	11	+8	22
3	Stará Ľubovňa	11	+11	21
4	Partizán Bardejov	11	+2	19
5	Raslavice	10	+1	19
6	Lipany	10	+11	17
7	Poprad	11	+3	16
8	Spišská Nová Ves	10	+1	16
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	11	+2	14
10	Slávia TU Košice	11	0	13
11	Vranov nad Topľou	11	−13	13
12	Snina	10	−3	11
13	Slovan Sabinov	11	−14	6
14	Kežmarok	11	−23	1