Poprad v Raslavice prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

Poprad 2–2 Raslavice POPRAD WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Poprad win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.956

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Poprad are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Poprad 56%, draw 23%, Raslavice 21%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Poprad v RaslaviceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Poprad win56%

Draw23%

Raslavice win21%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundEast · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Poprad

Raslavice

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - East

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - East

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Raslavice	11	+4	22
7	Poprad	11	+3	16

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · poprad winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 01:53 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Poprad a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Poprad v Raslavice~~1.93 – 1.08

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - East this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 22~~7 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Poprad win

Published at 59%, 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Poprad win	56%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Raslavice win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Poprad or draw	79%	–	–
Poprad clean sheet	35%	–	–
Raslavice clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 5.7 5.0 3.0 1 9.2 10.6 5.5 2.0 2 9.1 9.5 5.1 3 5.8 6.1 3.3 4 2.9 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Poprad down, Raslavice across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,189 3. liga - East matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.9% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Poprad at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Raslavice away: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.93 goals for Poprad, 1.08 for Raslavice. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~RAS 1–2 POP · POP 1–2 RAS · RAS 0–2 POP · POP 3–0 RAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - East this season · since 12 Sept

POPRAD

LLLWDL2–3 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–4

RASLAVICE

DWLWLW0–0 · 2–1 · 0–5 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lokomotíva Košice	11	+14	24
2	Spartak Medzev	11	+8	22
3	Raslavice	11	+4	22
4	Stará Ľubovňa	11	+11	21
5	Partizán Bardejov	11	+2	19
6	Lipany	11	+8	17
7	Poprad	11	+3	16
8	Spišská Nová Ves	11	0	16
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	11	+2	14
10	Snina	11	−2	14
11	Slávia TU Košice	11	0	13
12	Vranov nad Topľou	11	−13	13
13	Slovan Sabinov	11	−14	6
14	Kežmarok	11	−23	1