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Partizán Bardejov v Vranov nad Topľou

Partizán Bardejov

1–2Full time

Vranov nad Topľou

3. liga - East · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Partizán Bardejov 1–2 Vranov nad Topľou PARTIZÁN BARDEJOV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Partizán Bardejov win~~55%

~~The market said~~75%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.938

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.407

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Partizán Bardejov win55%

Draw21%

Vranov nad Topľou win23%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · partizán bardejov winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

55% The market75%

Us55%

~~Market~~75%

We make Partizán Bardejov a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 75%. We are 20 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · partizán bardejov win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 75% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Partizán Bardejov win	55%	75%	−20
Draw	21%	16%	+5
Vranov nad Topľou win	23%	9%	+14
Over 2.5 goals	65%	67%	−2
Both teams to score	63%	51%	+12
Over 1.5 goals	85%	85%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	44%	48%	−3
Partizán Bardejov or draw	77%	91%	−14
Partizán Bardejov clean sheet	28%	–	–
Vranov nad Topľou clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 4.1 4.1 3.0 1 6.7 9.4 5.8 2.6 2 7.3 9.0 5.8 2.6 3 5.1 6.3 4.0 4 2.8 3.4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Partizán Bardejov down, Vranov nad Topľou across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,175 3. liga - East matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.7% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 3.67 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Partizán Bardejov at home: 1.67 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Vranov nad Topľou away: 0.33 scored, 3.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.13 goals for Partizán Bardejov, 1.30 for Vranov nad Topľou. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.67

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~VRA 4–1 PAR · PAR 1–3 VRA · PAR 0–2 VRA · VRA 6–0 PAR

Form · last six in 3. liga - East

PARTIZÁN BARDEJOV

WWWLLW1–0 · 1–0 · 4–3 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 3–1

VRANOV NAD TOPĽOU

LLWDWL0–3 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Raslavice	9	+2	19
2	Lokomotíva Košice	9	+11	18
3	Stará Ľubovňa	9	+9	17
4	Lipany	9	+11	16
5	Spartak Medzev	9	+5	16
6	Partizán Bardejov	9	+2	16
7	Spišská Nová Ves	9	+2	16
8	Poprad	9	+4	15
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	9	+3	11
10	Slávia TU Košice	9	−1	10
11	Snina	9	−3	10
12	Vranov nad Topľou	9	−16	7
13	Slovan Sabinov	9	−10	6
14	Kežmarok	9	−19	1