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Lipany v Poprad

Lipany

1–1Full time

Poprad

3. liga - East · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Lipany 1–1 Poprad LIPANY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Lipany win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.930

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Lipany win54%

Draw23%

Poprad win22%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lipany winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Lipany a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lipany win	54%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Poprad win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Lipany or draw	78%	–	–
Lipany clean sheet	34%	–	–
Poprad clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%

0123450 6.0 5.3 3.2 1 9.1 10.9 5.7 2.2 2 8.8 9.5 5.2 3 5.5 5.9 3.3 4 2.6 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lipany down, Poprad across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,175 3. liga - East matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.7% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Lipany at home: 3.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Poprad away: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.87 goals for Lipany, 1.11 for Poprad. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~LIP 0–0 POP · POP 3–0 LIP · POP 4–0 LIP · LIP 3–3 POP

Form · last six in 3. liga - East

LIPANY

WWLWDL2–0 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 1–3

POPRAD

WWLLLW3–0 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Raslavice	9	+2	19
2	Lokomotíva Košice	9	+11	18
3	Stará Ľubovňa	9	+9	17
4	Lipany	9	+11	16
5	Spartak Medzev	9	+5	16
6	Partizán Bardejov	9	+2	16
7	Spišská Nová Ves	9	+2	16
8	Poprad	9	+4	15
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	9	+3	11
10	Slávia TU Košice	9	−1	10
11	Snina	9	−3	10
12	Vranov nad Topľou	9	−16	7
13	Slovan Sabinov	9	−10	6
14	Kežmarok	9	−19	1