Kežmarok v Stará Ľubovňa prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Kežmarok 1–3 Stará Ľubovňa STARÁ ĽUBOVŇA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Stará Ľubovňa win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.381

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Stará Ľubovňa are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kežmarok 28%, draw 23%, Stará Ľubovňa 50%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Kežmarok v Stará ĽubovňaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kežmarok win28%

Draw23%

Stará Ľubovňa win50%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundEast · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kežmarok

Stará Ľubovňa

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · 3. liga - East

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - East

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Stará Ľubovňa	10	+9	18
14	Kežmarok	10	−21	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stará ľubovňa winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Stará Ľubovňa a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kežmarok v Stará Ľubovňa~~1.37 – 1.93

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - East this season · since 6 Sept~~W0 D1 L5 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 1 v 18~~14 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kežmarok win	28%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Stará Ľubovňa win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Kežmarok or draw	50%	–	–
Kežmarok clean sheet	16%	–	–
Stará Ľubovňa clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.1%

0123450 4.6 6.8 6.8 4.4 2.2 1 4.8 10.1 8.9 5.7 2.8 2 3.6 6.5 6.0 3.8 3 3.1 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kežmarok down, Stará Ľubovňa across0–5 goals a side shown (97.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,182 3. liga - East matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - East matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.3% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Kežmarok at home: 0.50 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Stará Ľubovňa away: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.37 goals for Kežmarok, 1.93 for Stará Ľubovňa. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - East this season · since 6 Sept

KEŽMAROK

LLLLDL0–3 · 3–4 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 1–3

STARÁ ĽUBOVŇA

WWWWLD1–0 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 5–0 · 1–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lokomotíva Košice	10	+13	21
2	Spartak Medzev	10	+6	19
3	Raslavice	10	+1	19
4	Stará Ľubovňa	10	+9	18
5	Lipany	10	+11	17
6	Poprad	10	+4	16
7	Partizán Bardejov	10	+1	16
8	Spišská Nová Ves	10	+1	16
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	10	+4	14
10	Slávia TU Košice	10	+1	13
11	Snina	10	−3	11
12	Vranov nad Topľou	10	−15	10
13	Slovan Sabinov	10	−12	6
14	Kežmarok	10	−21	1