Sokol Medzibrod v Fiľakovo prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 01:30

Sokol Medzibrod 2–5 Fiľakovo FIĽAKOVO WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Fiľakovo win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.503

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Sokol Medzibrod win33%

Draw25%

Fiľakovo win42%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sokol Medzibrod

Fiľakovo

7Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Fiľakovo	9	+6	18
12	Sokol Medzibrod	9	−12	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fiľakovo winPublished 11 Oct 23:32

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Fiľakovo a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sokol Medzibrod win	33%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Fiľakovo win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Sokol Medzibrod or draw	58%	–	–
Sokol Medzibrod clean sheet	24%	–	–
Fiľakovo clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.7 9.9 7.0 3.5 1 8.5 11.6 8.5 4.2 2 5.2 7.3 5.3 2.6 3 2.3 3.2 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sokol Medzibrod down, Fiľakovo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 608 3. liga - Center matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - Center matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.2% of games this season, across 66 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Sokol Medzibrod at home: 1.25 scored, 2.25 conceded a game (last 4). Fiľakovo away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.26 goals for Sokol Medzibrod, 1.47 for Fiľakovo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2020

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. liga - Center

SOKOL MEDZIBROD

LDDLWL0–5 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 0–3

FIĽAKOVO

WDLDWW6–1 · 1–1 · 2–5 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ružomberok II	10	+20	26
2	Námestovo	9	+16	22
3	Čadca	10	+13	19
4	Fiľakovo	9	+6	18
5	Fomat Martin	9	+5	18
6	Podkonice	9	+6	14
7	Rimavská Sobota	10	−6	12
8	Oravské Veselé	10	−6	11
9	Novohrad Lučenec	10	−1	10
10	Baník Kalinovo	9	−5	10
11	Banská Byst II	9	−9	8
12	Sokol Medzibrod	9	−12	8
13	Kysucké Nové Mesto	9	−13	7
14	Dolný Kubín	10	−14	5