Rimavská Sobota v Oravské Veselé prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Rimavská Sobota 0–1 Oravské Veselé RIMAVSKÁ SOBOTA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Rimavská Sobota win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.944

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rimavská Sobota are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rimavská Sobota 56%, draw 20%, Oravské Veselé 23%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Rimavská Sobota v Oravské VeseléBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Rimavská Sobota win56%

Draw20%

Oravské Veselé win23%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundCentral · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rimavská Sobota

Oravské Veselé

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. liga - Center

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Rimavská Sobota	10	−6	12
9	Oravské Veselé	10	−6	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rimavská sobota winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Rimavská Sobota a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rimavská Sobota v Oravské Veselé~~2.17 – 1.33

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - Center this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 12 v 11~~8 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rimavská Sobota win	56%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Oravské Veselé win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Rimavská Sobota or draw	77%	–	–
Rimavská Sobota clean sheet	27%	–	–
Oravské Veselé clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.1 4.4 2.8 1 6.9 8.5 5.7 2.6 2 7.1 9.1 6.0 2.7 3 5.1 6.6 4.3 4 2.8 3.6 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rimavská Sobota down, Oravské Veselé across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 612 3. liga - Center matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - Center matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.1% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 3.44 goals a meeting; 7 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rimavská Sobota at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Oravské Veselé away: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.17 goals for Rimavská Sobota, 1.33 for Oravské Veselé. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~3.44

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 9

~~Both scored~~6 of 9

~~Last meetings~~ORA 2–3 RIM · RIM 2–4 ORA · ORA 2–1 RIM · RIM 2–0 ORA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - Center this season · since 5 Sept

RIMAVSKÁ SOBOTA

LWWLLL1–2 · 4–1 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 2–3

ORAVSKÉ VESELÉ

LWLLLD1–2 · 1–0 · 1–4 · 0–4 · 0–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ružomberok II	10	+20	26
2	Námestovo	10	+19	25
3	Fiľakovo	10	+9	21
4	Čadca	10	+13	19
5	Fomat Martin	10	+4	18
6	Podkonice	10	+6	15
7	Baník Kalinovo	10	−4	13
8	Rimavská Sobota	10	−6	12
9	Oravské Veselé	10	−6	11
10	Novohrad Lučenec	10	−1	10
11	Banská Byst II	10	−12	8
12	Kysucké Nové Mesto	10	−13	8
13	Sokol Medzibrod	10	−15	8
14	Dolný Kubín	10	−14	5