Podkonice v Rimavská Sobota prediction · 3. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

PodkoniceDrawRimavská Sobota

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Podkonice 62%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Podkonice are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Podkonice 62%, draw 18%, Rimavská Sobota 20%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Podkonice v Rimavská SobotaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Podkonice win62%

Draw18%

Rimavská Sobota win20%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:30

RoundCentral · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Podkonice

Rimavská Sobota

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - Center

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Podkonice	11	+6	16
9	Rimavská Sobota	11	−7	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · podkonice winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

62% The market62%

Us62%

~~Market~~62%

We make Podkonice a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are level with the market. The model expects 2.4–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Podkonice v Rimavská Sobota~~2.44 – 1.32

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - Center this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 16 v 12~~6 v 9

~~The market · Podkonice win~~62% · ours 62%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Podkonice win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Podkonice win	62%	62%	0
Draw	18%	21%	−3
Rimavská Sobota win	20%	17%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	72%	63%	+9
Both teams to score	66%	58%	+8
Over 1.5 goals	88%	83%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	51%	42%	+9
Podkonice or draw	80%	83%	−3
Podkonice clean sheet	27%	–	–
Rimavská Sobota clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.9%

0123450 2.4 3.4 2.1 1 6.1 7.4 4.9 2.2 2 7.0 8.9 5.8 2.6 3 5.6 7.1 4.6 2.1 4 3.4 4.4 2.9 5 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Podkonice down, Rimavská Sobota across0–5 goals a side shown (95.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 619 3. liga - Center matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - Center matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.5% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.25 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Podkonice at home: 3.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Rimavská Sobota away: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.44 goals for Podkonice, 1.32 for Rimavská Sobota. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~RIM 0–4 POD · POD 4–1 RIM · RIM 1–0 POD · POD 3–0 RIM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - Center this season · since 12 Sept

PODKONICE

WLDLDD3–2 · 3–4 · 4–4 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–1

RIMAVSKÁ SOBOTA

WWLLLL4–1 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ružomberok II	11	+28	29
2	Námestovo	11	+20	28
3	Čadca	11	+15	22
4	Fiľakovo	11	+7	21
5	Fomat Martin	11	+6	21
6	Podkonice	11	+6	16
7	Oravské Veselé	11	−5	14
8	Baník Kalinovo	11	−12	13
9	Rimavská Sobota	11	−7	12
10	Banská Byst II	11	−10	11
11	Novohrad Lučenec	11	−2	10
12	Kysucké Nové Mesto	11	−15	8
13	Sokol Medzibrod	11	−17	8
14	Dolný Kubín	11	−14	6