Podkonice v Kysucké Nové Mesto prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 01:30

Podkonice 1–1 Kysucké Nové Mesto PODKONICE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Podkonice win~~74%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.276

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Podkonice win74%

Draw15%

Kysucké Nové Mesto win11%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Podkonice

Kysucké Nové Mesto

8Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Podkonice	9	+6	14
13	Kysucké Nové Mesto	9	−13	7

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · podkonice winPublished 11 Oct 23:32

74% The market–

Us74%

We make Podkonice a 74% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Podkonice win	74%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Kysucké Nové Mesto win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Podkonice or draw	89%	–	–
Podkonice clean sheet	41%	–	–
Kysucké Nové Mesto clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.0%

0123450 3.1 2.9 1 8.0 6.9 3.1 2 10.0 8.8 4.0 3 8.7 7.6 3.4 4 5.8 5.0 2.3 5 3.2 2.7

under 2% 5% 12%+Podkonice down, Kysucké Nové Mesto across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 608 3. liga - Center matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - Center matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.2% of games this season, across 66 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Podkonice at home: 2.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Kysucké Nové Mesto away: 1.50 scored, 3.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.64 goals for Podkonice, 0.90 for Kysucké Nové Mesto. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KYS 0–1 POD · POD 2–0 KYS

Form · last six in 3. liga - Center

PODKONICE

WDWLDL4–1 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 3–4 · 4–4 · 1–2

KYSUCKÉ NOVÉ MESTO

WLLDLW5–0 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 0–6 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ružomberok II	10	+20	26
2	Námestovo	9	+16	22
3	Čadca	10	+13	19
4	Fiľakovo	9	+6	18
5	Fomat Martin	9	+5	18
6	Podkonice	9	+6	14
7	Rimavská Sobota	10	−6	12
8	Oravské Veselé	10	−6	11
9	Novohrad Lučenec	10	−1	10
10	Baník Kalinovo	9	−5	10
11	Banská Byst II	9	−9	8
12	Sokol Medzibrod	9	−12	8
13	Kysucké Nové Mesto	9	−13	7
14	Dolný Kubín	10	−14	5