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Novohrad Lučenec v Ružomberok II

Novohrad Lučenec

2–3Full time

Ružomberok II

3. liga - Center · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Novohrad Lučenec 2–3 Ružomberok II NOVOHRAD LUČENEC WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Novohrad Lučenec win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.634

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Novohrad Lučenec win41%

Draw23%

Ružomberok II win36%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · novohrad lučenec winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Novohrad Lučenec a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Novohrad Lučenec win	41%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Ružomberok II win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Novohrad Lučenec or draw	64%	–	–
Novohrad Lučenec clean sheet	22%	–	–
Ružomberok II clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 4.1 6.5 4.8 2.5 1 7.0 10.0 7.7 4.0 2 5.6 8.4 6.4 3.3 3 3.2 4.7 3.6 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Novohrad Lučenec down, Ružomberok II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 605 3. liga - Center matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - Center matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.7% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Novohrad Lučenec at home: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Ružomberok II away: 2.33 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for Novohrad Lučenec, 1.54 for Ružomberok II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~RUZ 5–1 NOV · NOV 1–0 RUZ

Form · last six in 3. liga - Center

NOVOHRAD LUČENEC

LDLWWL2–3 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 1–2

RUŽOMBEROK II

WDWWDW5–1 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 4–1 · 4–4 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ružomberok II	9	+19	23
2	Námestovo	9	+16	22
3	Fiľakovo	9	+6	18
4	Fomat Martin	9	+5	18
5	Čadca	9	+12	16
6	Podkonice	9	+6	14
7	Rimavská Sobota	9	−5	12
8	Novohrad Lučenec	9	0	10
9	Baník Kalinovo	9	−5	10
10	Oravské Veselé	9	−6	10
11	Banská Byst II	9	−9	8
12	Sokol Medzibrod	9	−12	8
13	Kysucké Nové Mesto	9	−13	7
14	Dolný Kubín	9	−14	4