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Novohrad Lučenec v Kysucké Nové Mesto

Novohrad Lučenec

12:30Result not confirmed

Kysucké Nové Mesto

3. liga - Center · SAT 24 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Novohrad LučenecDrawKysucké Nové Mesto

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Novohrad Lučenec 68%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Novohrad Lučenec are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Novohrad Lučenec 68%, draw 18%, Kysucké Nové Mesto 13%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Novohrad Lučenec v Kysucké Nové MestoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Novohrad Lučenec win68%

Draw18%

Kysucké Nové Mesto win13%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:30

RoundCentral · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Novohrad Lučenec

Kysucké Nové Mesto

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - Center

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Novohrad Lučenec	11	−2	10
12	Kysucké Nové Mesto	11	−15	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · novohrad lučenec winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:12 · locked at kick-off

68% The market–

Us68%

We make Novohrad Lučenec a 68% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Novohrad Lučenec v Kysucké Nové Mesto~~2.20 – 0.83

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - Center this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 8~~11 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Novohrad Lučenec win

Published at 66%, 68% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Novohrad Lučenec win	68%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Kysucké Nové Mesto win	13%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Novohrad Lučenec or draw	87%	–	–
Novohrad Lučenec clean sheet	44%	–	–
Kysucké Nové Mesto clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.5%

0123450 5.0 4.4 1 11.0 8.5 3.7 2 11.5 9.3 3.9 3 8.4 6.8 2.8 4 4.7 3.8 5 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Novohrad Lučenec down, Kysucké Nové Mesto across0–5 goals a side shown (97.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 619 3. liga - Center matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - Center matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.5% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Novohrad Lučenec at home: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Kysucké Nové Mesto away: 1.17 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.20 goals for Novohrad Lučenec, 0.83 for Kysucké Nové Mesto. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~NOV 3–0 KYS · KYS 0–0 NOV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - Center this season · since 12 Sept

NOVOHRAD LUČENEC

LWWLLL0–2 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 2–3 · 2–3

KYSUCKÉ NOVÉ MESTO

LDLWDL1–4 · 1–1 · 0–6 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ružomberok II	11	+28	29
2	Námestovo	11	+20	28
3	Čadca	11	+15	22
4	Fiľakovo	11	+7	21
5	Fomat Martin	11	+6	21
6	Podkonice	11	+6	16
7	Oravské Veselé	11	−5	14
8	Baník Kalinovo	11	−12	13
9	Rimavská Sobota	11	−7	12
10	Banská Byst II	11	−10	11
11	Novohrad Lučenec	11	−2	10
12	Kysucké Nové Mesto	11	−15	8
13	Sokol Medzibrod	11	−17	8
14	Dolný Kubín	11	−14	6