Kysucké Nové Mesto v Banská Byst II prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Kysucké Nové Mesto 1–3 Banská Byst II BANSKÁ BYST II WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Banská Byst II win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.492

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Banská Byst II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kysucké Nové Mesto 32%, draw 25%, Banská Byst II 43%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Kysucké Nové Mesto v Banská Byst IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kysucké Nové Mesto win32%

Draw25%

Banská Byst II win43%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundCentral · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kysucké Nové Mesto

Banská Byst II

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · 3. liga - Center

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Banská Byst II	10	−12	8
12	Kysucké Nové Mesto	10	−13	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · banská byst ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 04:05 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Banská Byst II a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kysucké Nové Mesto v Banská Byst II~~1.20 – 1.44

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - Center this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 8 v 8~~12 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Banská Byst II win

Published at 45%, 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kysucké Nové Mesto win	32%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Banská Byst II win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Kysucké Nové Mesto or draw	57%	–	–
Kysucké Nové Mesto clean sheet	24%	–	–
Banská Byst II clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 7.3 10.7 7.4 3.6 1 8.9 11.8 8.6 4.2 2 5.1 7.2 5.1 2.5 3 2.1 2.9 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kysucké Nové Mesto down, Banská Byst II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 612 3. liga - Center matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - Center matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.1% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kysucké Nové Mesto at home: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Banská Byst II away: 1.50 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.20 goals for Kysucké Nové Mesto, 1.44 for Banská Byst II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BAN 3–1 KYS · KYS 1–1 BAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - Center this season · since 5 Sept

KYSUCKÉ NOVÉ MESTO

LLDLWD0–1 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 0–6 · 1–0 · 1–1

BANSKÁ BYST II

DWWLLL0–0 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ružomberok II	10	+20	26
2	Námestovo	10	+19	25
3	Fiľakovo	10	+9	21
4	Čadca	10	+13	19
5	Fomat Martin	10	+4	18
6	Podkonice	10	+6	15
7	Baník Kalinovo	10	−4	13
8	Rimavská Sobota	10	−6	12
9	Oravské Veselé	10	−6	11
10	Novohrad Lučenec	10	−1	10
11	Banská Byst II	10	−12	8
12	Kysucké Nové Mesto	10	−13	8
13	Sokol Medzibrod	10	−15	8
14	Dolný Kubín	10	−14	5