Fomat Martin v Ružomberok II prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

Fomat Martin 4–2 Ružomberok II FOMAT MARTIN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Fomat Martin win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.477

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Fomat Martin are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Fomat Martin 45%, draw 19%, Ružomberok II 36%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 77%.

The AI’s read on Fomat Martin v Ružomberok IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Fomat Martin win45%

Draw19%

Ružomberok II win36%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:30

RoundCentral · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Fomat Martin

Ružomberok II

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. liga - Center

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. liga - Center

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ružomberok II	11	+28	29
5	Fomat Martin	11	+6	21

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fomat martin winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 01:53 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Fomat Martin a 45% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–2.1, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Fomat Martin v Ružomberok II~~2.30 – 2.08

~~Form · last six in 3. liga - Center this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 21 v 29~~5 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Fomat Martin win

Published at 49%, 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fomat Martin win	45%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Ružomberok II win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	77%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	63%	–	–
Fomat Martin or draw	64%	–	–
Fomat Martin clean sheet	13%	–	–
Ružomberok II clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.8%

0123450 2.9 2.8 1 3.2 6.0 6.1 4.2 2.2 2 3.5 6.8 6.8 4.7 2.5 3 2.6 5.1 5.2 3.5 4 3.0 3.0 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Fomat Martin down, Ružomberok II across0–5 goals a side shown (94.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 619 3. liga - Center matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. liga - Center matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.5% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Fomat Martin at home: 3.67 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Ružomberok II away: 2.83 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.30 goals for Fomat Martin, 2.08 for Ružomberok II. Most likely score 2–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~FOM 2–2 RUZ · RUZ 1–1 FOM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. liga - Center this season · since 12 Sept

FOMAT MARTIN

LWWWLW0–1 · 4–3 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 4–2

RUŽOMBEROK II

WWDWWW3–2 · 4–1 · 4–4 · 3–0 · 3–2 · 8–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ružomberok II	11	+28	29
2	Námestovo	11	+20	28
3	Čadca	11	+15	22
4	Fiľakovo	11	+7	21
5	Fomat Martin	11	+6	21
6	Podkonice	11	+6	16
7	Oravské Veselé	11	−5	14
8	Baník Kalinovo	11	−12	13
9	Rimavská Sobota	11	−7	12
10	Banská Byst II	11	−10	11
11	Novohrad Lučenec	11	−2	10
12	Kysucké Nové Mesto	11	−15	8
13	Sokol Medzibrod	11	−17	8
14	Dolný Kubín	11	−14	6