Baník Kalinovo v Fomat Martin prediction · 3. liga

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 01:30

Baník Kalinovo 1–0 Fomat Martin FOMAT MARTIN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Fomat Martin win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.662

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Baník Kalinovo win35%

Draw23%

Fomat Martin win43%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Baník Kalinovo

Fomat Martin

7Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Fomat Martin	9	+5	18
10	Baník Kalinovo	9	−5	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fomat martin winPublished 11 Oct 23:32

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Fomat Martin a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Baník Kalinovo win	35%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Fomat Martin win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Baník Kalinovo or draw	57%	–	–
Baník Kalinovo clean sheet	19%	–	–
Fomat Martin clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 4.3 7.4 6.0 3.4 1 6.5 10.2 8.5 4.8 2.1 2 4.7 7.6 6.3 3.5 3 2.4 3.8 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Baník Kalinovo down, Fomat Martin across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 608 3. liga - Center matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. liga - Center matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.2% of games this season, across 66 played.

Head to head

5 previous meetings, 2.20 goals a meeting; 2 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Baník Kalinovo at home: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Fomat Martin away: 1.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.49 goals for Baník Kalinovo, 1.68 for Fomat Martin. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 5

~~Both scored~~2 of 5

~~Last meetings~~FOM 2–0 BAN · BAN 2–1 FOM · BAN 2–2 FOM · FOM 1–0 BAN

Form · last six in 3. liga - Center

BANÍK KALINOVO

LWLLLW0–4 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 3–0

FOMAT MARTIN

LLLWWW1–6 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 4–3 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ružomberok II	10	+20	26
2	Námestovo	9	+16	22
3	Čadca	10	+13	19
4	Fiľakovo	9	+6	18
5	Fomat Martin	9	+5	18
6	Podkonice	9	+6	14
7	Rimavská Sobota	10	−6	12
8	Oravské Veselé	10	−6	11
9	Novohrad Lučenec	10	−1	10
10	Baník Kalinovo	9	−5	10
11	Banská Byst II	9	−9	8
12	Sokol Medzibrod	9	−12	8
13	Kysucké Nové Mesto	9	−13	7
14	Dolný Kubín	10	−14	5