Zlaté Moravce v Šamorín prediction · 2. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Zlaté MoravceDrawŠamorín

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Zlaté Moravce 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zlaté Moravce are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zlaté Moravce 53%, draw 23%, Šamorín 25%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Zlaté Moravce v ŠamorínBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Zlaté Moravce win53%

Draw23%

Šamorín win25%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zlaté Moravce

Šamorín

10Days since last match7

Last match: 21 Oct · the Slovak Cup

Last match: 24 Oct · 2. liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zlaté moravce winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Zlaté Moravce a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Zlaté Moravce v Šamorín~~1.81 – 1.16

~~Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 14 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 13 v 32~~12 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Zlaté Moravce win	53%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Šamorín win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Zlaté Moravce or draw	75%	–	–
Zlaté Moravce clean sheet	32%	–	–
Šamorín clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 5.1 6.1 3.5 1 9.4 10.6 6.2 2.4 2 8.4 9.6 5.6 2.2 3 5.1 5.8 3.4 4 2.3 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Zlaté Moravce down, Šamorín across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,253 2. liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games this season, across 109 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Zlaté Moravce at home: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Šamorín away: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.81 goals for Zlaté Moravce, 1.16 for Šamorín. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ZLA 1–2 SAM · SAM 3–3 ZLA · SAM 0–2 ZLA · ZLA 1–2 SAM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 14 Sept

ZLATÉ MORAVCE

WDLDLL4–0 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 1–2

ŠAMORÍN

WWLDDW1–0 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Šamorín	14	+11	32
2	Petržalka	14	+13	30
3	Považská Bystrica	14	+4	26
4	Pohronie	14	+4	23
5	Galanta	14	0	23
6	Tatran Prešov	14	+2	22
7	Žilina II	13	+3	21
8	Inter Bratislava	13	+12	20
9	Liptovský Mikuláš	14	+3	19
10	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	14	−1	19
11	Slovan Bratislava II	13	+2	16
12	Zlaté Moravce	13	−2	13
13	Malženice	13	−5	12
14	Humenné	14	−11	12
15	MFK Bytča	14	−22	9
16	Lokomotíva Zvolen	13	−13	6