Žilina II v Lokomotíva Zvolen prediction · 2. liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Žilina IIDrawLokomotíva Zvolen

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 09:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Žilina II 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Žilina II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Žilina II 49%, draw 23%, Lokomotíva Zvolen 27%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Žilina II v Lokomotíva ZvolenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Žilina II win49%

Draw23%

Lokomotíva Zvolen win27%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 09:30

RoundMatchday 14

VenueMSK Zilina - UT

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Žilina II

Lokomotíva Zvolen

6Days since last match8

Last match: 19 Oct · 2. liga

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Žilina II	13	+3	21
16	Lokomotíva Zvolen	13	−13	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · žilina ii winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

49% The market45%

Us49%

~~Market~~45%

We make Žilina II a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Žilina II v Lokomotíva Zvolen~~1.73 – 1.23

~~Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 21 v 6~~7 v 16

~~The market · Žilina II win~~45% · ours 49%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Žilina II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Žilina II win	49%	45%	+4
Draw	23%	26%	−3
Lokomotíva Zvolen win	27%	29%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	56%	56%	0
Both teams to score	58%	59%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	79%	77%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	34%	35%	−1
Žilina II or draw	73%	71%	+2
Žilina II clean sheet	29%	–	–
Lokomotíva Zvolen clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%

0123450 5.3 6.6 4.0 1 9.1 10.9 6.7 2.8 2 7.7 9.4 5.8 2.4 3 4.4 5.4 3.3 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Žilina II down, Lokomotíva Zvolen across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,248 2. liga matches up to 19 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.7% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Žilina II at home: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Lokomotíva Zvolen away: 0.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Žilina II, 1.23 for Lokomotíva Zvolen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~LOK 5–2 ZIL · ZIL 1–3 LOK · LOK 1–2 ZIL · ZIL 0–0 LOK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 12 Sept

ŽILINA II

LWDWLD0–1 · 4–2 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 1–1

LOKOMOTÍVA ZVOLEN

LLLLLW0–4 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Šamorín	14	+11	32
2	Petržalka	14	+13	30
3	Považská Bystrica	14	+4	26
4	Pohronie	14	+4	23
5	Galanta	14	0	23
6	Tatran Prešov	14	+2	22
7	Žilina II	13	+3	21
8	Inter Bratislava	13	+12	20
9	Liptovský Mikuláš	14	+3	19
10	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	14	−1	19
11	Slovan Bratislava II	13	+2	16
12	Zlaté Moravce	13	−2	13
13	Malženice	13	−5	12
14	Humenné	14	−11	12
15	MFK Bytča	14	−22	9
16	Lokomotíva Zvolen	13	−13	6