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Tatran Prešov v Žilina II

Tatran Prešov
1–1Full time
Žilina II

2. liga · MON 19 OCT

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 18:30
Tatran Prešov 1–1 Žilina II TATRAN PREŠOV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Tatran Prešov win64%
The market said65%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.080
The market’s Brier score1.070

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Tatran Prešov win at 64%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Tatran Prešov 64% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–20–17
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Tatran Prešov v Žilina II
  4. 27′We said Tatran Prešov at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–1 · 30–27–43
  5. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Tatran Prešov 0–1 Žilina II
  6. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Tatran Prešov win: 64% at kick-off, 30% now
  7. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Žilina II win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Tatran Prešov win 57%)
  8. 28′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Žilina II
  9. 29′Žilina II find the net on 28′. 0–1. 0–1 · 29–27–44
  10. 29′We said Tatran Prešov at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–27–44
  11. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Tatran Prešov
  12. 31′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 28–27–45
  13. 38′We said Tatran Prešov at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–28–47
  14. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Tatran Prešov win: 64% at kick-off, 24% now
  15. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Tatran Prešov
  16. 45′SECOND HALF Tatran Prešov 0–1 Žilina II
  17. 46′HALF-TIME Tatran Prešov 0–1 Žilina II
  18. 48′We said Tatran Prešov at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–29–52
  19. 57′We said Tatran Prešov at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–29–57
  20. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Tatran Prešov win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
  21. 66′We said Tatran Prešov at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–27–64
  22. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Žilina II
  23. 75′We said Tatran Prešov at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–22–74
  24. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Tatran Prešov win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
  25. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Tatran Prešov 1–1 Žilina II
  26. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Tatran Prešov win: 64% at kick-off, 25% now
  27. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Žilina II win 75%)
  28. 77′A goal for Tatran Prešov on 77′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 24–66–10
  29. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Tatran Prešov win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
  30. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Žilina II
  31. 93′1–1 at the end. Our 64% on Tatran Prešov misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
  32. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Tatran Prešov win: 64% at kick-off, 3% now
  33. FTFULL TIME Tatran Prešov 1–1 Žilina II
  34. FTTatran Prešov 1–1 Žilina II · Tatran Prešov win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tatran Prešov are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tatran Prešov 64%, draw 20%, Žilina II 17%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Tatran Prešov v Žilina IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

Tatran Prešov win64%
Draw20%
Žilina II win17%

Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 13

Line-ups

Tatran Prešov

Žilina II

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tatran Prešov

Žilina II

6Days since last match8

Last match: 13 Oct · the Slovak Cup

Last match: 11 Oct · 2. liga

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Žilina II12+320
9Tatran Prešov12−118

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Tatran Prešov

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Knurovsky

31 J. Menich

88 D. Suchy

9 M. Regali

77 M. Franko

17 R. Leuta

26 R. Zupa

21 M. Gomola

44 J. Molnar

3 M. Siplak

80 L. Sagna

Coach · Erik Havrila

Substitutes

29 · S. Sabolcik

20 · A. Ukhan

10 · Ricardo Goncalves

27 · J. Tecl

79 · D. Griger

24 · M. Terpak

28 · R. Poboril

83 · A. Stapinsky

4 · P. Simko

Žilina II

Formation not confirmed

1 T. Tarcsi

5 B. A. Sowah

8 M. Bortoli

10 P. Baleja

11 M. Charamza

14 M. Svoboda

17 R. Petruska

18 M. Traore

19 F. Kosa

22 T. Korencik

25 M. Yendare

Coach · Viktor Pecovsky

Substitutes

7 · M. Pekelsky

9 · D. Kmet

13 · A. Ibrahim

15 · T. Stanik

16 · M. Prekop

21 · S. Koribsky

20 · M. Skvarka

30 · B. Valko

Our number · tatran prešov winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off
64% The market65%
Us64%
Market65%

We make Tatran Prešov a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.1–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Tatran Prešov v Žilina II2.14 – 0.99
Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 5 SeptW2 D2 L2 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 18 v 209 v 7
The market · Tatran Prešov win65% · ours 64%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65%70% 13 OCT 05:4619 OCT 15:42
Our probability · Tatran Prešov win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Tatran Prešov win64%65%−1
Draw20%21%−1
Žilina II win17%14%+3
Over 2.5 goals60%59%+1
Both teams to score55%53%+2
Over 1.5 goals82%80%+2
Over 3.5 goals38%39%−1
Tatran Prešov or draw83%86%−3
Tatran Prešov clean sheet37%––
Žilina II clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.0%
0123450 4.3 4.5 2.2 1 9.5 9.1 4.6 2 10.0 9.8 4.8 3 7.2 7.0 3.4 4 3.9 3.8 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Tatran Prešov down, Žilina II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.54 of 6
Both scored3 of 6
Last meetingsZIL 1–4 TAT · TAT 2–0 ZIL · ZIL 1–2 TAT · TAT 4–2 ZIL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 5 Sept

TATRAN PREŠOV

LWLDWD0–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 2–2

ŽILINA II

WLWDWL2–0 · 0–1 · 4–2 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Petržalka13+1430
2Šamorín13+1029
3Pohronie13+523
4Považská Bystrica13+323
5Galanta13022
6Inter Bratislava13+1220
7Žilina II12+320
8Liptovský Mikuláš13+419
9Tatran Prešov12−118
10Slovan Bratislava II13+216
11Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom13−216
12Zlaté Moravce13−213
13Malženice13−512
14Humenné13−1111
15MFK Bytča13−199
16Lokomotíva Zvolen13−136

The competition's standings before kick-off.