Slovan Bratislava II v Liptovský Mikuláš prediction · 2. liga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 12:11

Slovan Bratislava II 2–0 Liptovský Mikuláš SLOVAN BRATISLAVA II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Slovan Bratislava II win~~40%

~~The market said~~35%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.553

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.633

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Slovan Bratislava II win at 40%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Slovan Bratislava II 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–23–37
1′KICK-OFF Slovan Bratislava II v Liptovský Mikuláš
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Slovan Bratislava II 1–0 Liptovský Mikuláš
18′A goal for Slovan Bratislava II on 12′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 64–20–16
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Slovan Bratislava II win: 40% at kick-off, 64% now
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Slovan Bratislava II win: 40% at kick-off, 64% now
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Slovan Bratislava II win: 40% at kick-off, 64% now
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Slovan Bratislava II win: 40% at kick-off, 64% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Slovan Bratislava II win: 40% at kick-off, 64% now
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Slovan Bratislava II win: 40% at kick-off, 64% now
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Slovan Bratislava II win: 40% at kick-off, 64% now
24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Liptovský Mikuláš
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Slovan Bratislava II win: 40% at kick-off, 64% now
26′A goal for Slovan Bratislava II on 12′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 65–21–14
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Slovan Bratislava II win: 40% at kick-off, 64% now
29′We said Slovan Bratislava II at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–0 · 66–21–14
30′We said Slovan Bratislava II at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–0 · 66–21–13
34′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 66–21–13
41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Liptovský Mikuláš
45′HALF-TIME Slovan Bratislava II 1–0 Liptovský Mikuláš
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Slovan Bratislava II win: 40% at kick-off, 66% now
46′SECOND HALF Slovan Bratislava II 1–0 Liptovský Mikuláš
54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Liptovský Mikuláš
64′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Liptovský Mikuláš
64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Slovan Bratislava II · On: R. Tomanek · Off: P. Lembak
65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Slovan Bratislava II · On: J. Rehak · Off: M. Kianga
65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' A. Macejko · Liptovský Mikuláš
75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Liptovský Mikuláš · On: E. Okonji · Off: P. Majercik
75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Slovan Bratislava II · On: T. Gabris · Off: E. Kozyk
84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Liptovský Mikuláš
90′⚽ GOAL · 89' Slovan Bratislava II 2–0 Liptovský Mikuláš
FTFULL TIME Slovan Bratislava II 2–0 Liptovský Mikuláš
FTSlovan Bratislava II 2–0 Liptovský Mikuláš · Slovan Bratislava II win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Slovan Bratislava II win40%

Draw23%

Liptovský Mikuláš win37%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 09:30

VenuePasienky

Line-ups

Slovan Bratislava II

Liptovský Mikuláš

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Slovan Bratislava II

Liptovský Mikuláš

8Days since last match6

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Liptovský Mikuláš	11	+5	16
12	Slovan Bratislava II	11	0	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Slovan Bratislava II

Formation not confirmed

44 M. Macik

17 D. Jakolic

3 D. Balog

4 M. Minka

6 P. Lembak

8 M. Marko

11 J. Murko

16 L. Salkovic

10 E. Kozyk

21 L. Hofstadter

15 M. Kianga

Coach · Erik Grendel

Substitutes

2 · A. Velky

5 · P. Holocsy

7 · A. Canolli

9 · O. Jelinek

19 · J. Rehak

22 · R. Tomanek

13 · T. Gabris

18 · S. Fronko

30 · M. Naimann

Liptovský Mikuláš

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Novak

10 R. Bartos

8 T. Gerat

7 A. Macejko

28 M. Piter-Bucko

21 S. Kucharik

6 M. Sot

11 T. Stas

22 S. Chlepko

4 P. Majercik

19 L. Laura

Coach · Marek Petrus

Substitutes

15 · S. Mojcak

20 · Rafael Freitas

17 · E. Okonji

27 · A. Daneji

30 · A. Palka

23 · T. Hak

24 · L. Jendrek

Our number · slovan bratislava ii winPublished 11 Oct 09:34

40% The market35%

Us40%

~~Market~~35%

We make Slovan Bratislava II a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.6.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · slovan bratislava ii win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 37% to 36% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Slovan Bratislava II win	40%	35%	+4
Draw	23%	26%	−3
Liptovský Mikuláš win	37%	38%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	62%	59%	+4
Both teams to score	64%	62%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	83%	79%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	40%	38%	+3
Slovan Bratislava II or draw	63%	62%	+1
Slovan Bratislava II clean sheet	21%	–	–
Liptovský Mikuláš clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.1%

0123450 3.8 6.5 5.0 2.6 1 6.8 10.1 8.1 4.3 2 5.4 8.4 6.6 3.5 3 3.0 4.6 3.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Slovan Bratislava II down, Liptovský Mikuláš across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,235 2. liga matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.1% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 3.33 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Slovan Bratislava II at home: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Liptovský Mikuláš away: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for Slovan Bratislava II, 1.58 for Liptovský Mikuláš. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~SLO 3–1 LIP · LIP 2–1 SLO · SLO 0–1 LIP · LIP 2–1 SLO

Form · last six in 2. liga

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA II

DLWLDW1–1 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 2–0

LIPTOVSKÝ MIKULÁŠ

LDLDWW0–2 · 3–3 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Petržalka	11	+14	28
2	Šamorín	11	+10	27
3	Považská Bystrica	12	+4	23
4	Žilina II	11	+4	20
5	Pohronie	11	+3	19
6	Tatran Prešov	12	−1	18
7	Inter Bratislava	11	+9	16
8	Liptovský Mikuláš	11	+5	16
9	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	12	−1	16
10	Galanta	11	−2	16
11	Zlaté Moravce	11	+1	13
12	Slovan Bratislava II	11	0	12
13	Malženice	11	−2	11
14	MFK Bytča	12	−18	9
15	Humenné	12	−12	8
16	Lokomotíva Zvolen	12	−14	3