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Považská Bystrica v Tatran Prešov

Považská Bystrica

2–2Full time

Tatran Prešov

2. liga · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Považská Bystrica 2–2 Tatran Prešov TATRAN PREŠOV WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tatran Prešov win~~40%

~~The market said~~34%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.849

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.798

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 21 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Tatran Prešov win at 40%.
4′Little has changed for our model: Tatran Prešov 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 34–26–40
4′KICK-OFF Považská Bystrica v Tatran Prešov
28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Považská Bystrica 0–1 Tatran Prešov
33′SUBSTITUTION · 28' Považská Bystrica · On: M. Benadik · Off: J. Tancik
37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Považská Bystrica 1–1 Tatran Prešov
43′⚽ GOAL · 28' Považská Bystrica 1–1 Tatran Prešov · L. Sagna
43′SUBSTITUTION · 28' Považská Bystrica · On: M. Benadik · Off: J. Tancik
43′⚽ GOAL · 37' Považská Bystrica 1–1 Tatran Prešov · D. Kucharcik
45′D. Kucharcik scores for Považská Bystrica on 37′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 29–38–33
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Tatran Prešov win 33%)
45′HALF-TIME Považská Bystrica 1–1 Tatran Prešov
48′SECOND HALF Považská Bystrica 1–1 Tatran Prešov
55′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 26–45–29
55′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Považská Bystrica
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Tatran Prešov win: 40% at kick-off, 29% now
69′⚽ GOAL · 68' Považská Bystrica 2–1 Tatran Prešov
75′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Tatran Prešov · On: A. Ukhan · Off: D. Suchy
75′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Považská Bystrica · On: R. Zemko · Off: S. Maslej
75′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Považská Bystrica · On: P. Kotroczo · Off: S. Javorcek
75′⚽ GOAL · 72' Považská Bystrica 1–2 Tatran Prešov · L. Sagna
82′PENALTY MISSED · 81' Tatran Prešov
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Považská Bystrica 2–2 Tatran Prešov
85′⚽ GOAL · 83' Považská Bystrica 2–2 Tatran Prešov
FTFULL TIME Považská Bystrica 2–2 Tatran Prešov
FTPovažská Bystrica 2–2 Tatran Prešov · Tatran Prešov win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Považská Bystrica win35%

Draw25%

Tatran Prešov win40%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Považská Bystrica

Formation not confirmed

21 A. Malovec

4 M. Mynar

23 D. Kucharcik

14 D. Beranek

12 S. Samaj

18 F. Liszka

7 A. Kacerik

8 S. Javorcek

9 S. Maslej

77 J. Tancik

22 R. Bozik

Coach · Martin Kuciak

Substitutes

16 · M. Curik

17 · R. Zemko

13 · P. Kotroczo

11 · M. Benadik

20 · M. Matejcik

73 · M. Bastek

19 · A. Celko

Tatran Prešov

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Knurovsky

31 J. Menich

88 D. Suchy

9 M. Regali

77 M. Franko

17 R. Leuta

22 R. Zupa

21 M. Gomola

44 J. Molnar

3 M. Siplak

80 L. Sagna

Coach · Erik Havrila

Substitutes

29 · S. Sabolcik

20 · A. Ukhan

66 · R. Repasky

10 · Ricardo Goncalves

27 · J. Tecl

4 · P. Simko

83 · A. Stapinsky

79 · D. Griger

24 · M. Terpak

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Považská Bystrica

Formation not confirmed

21 A. Malovec

4 M. Mynar

23 D. Kucharcik

14 D. Beranek

12 S. Samaj

18 F. Liszka

7 A. Kacerik

8 S. Javorcek

9 S. Maslej

77 J. Tancik

22 R. Bozik

Coach · Martin Kuciak

Substitutes

16 · M. Curik

17 · R. Zemko

13 · P. Kotroczo

11 · M. Benadik

20 · M. Matejcik

73 · M. Bastek

19 · A. Celko

Tatran Prešov

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Knurovsky

31 J. Menich

88 D. Suchy

9 M. Regali

77 M. Franko

17 R. Leuta

22 R. Zupa

21 M. Gomola

44 J. Molnar

3 M. Siplak

80 L. Sagna

Coach · Erik Havrila

Substitutes

29 · S. Sabolcik

20 · A. Ukhan

66 · R. Repasky

10 · Ricardo Goncalves

27 · J. Tecl

4 · P. Simko

83 · A. Stapinsky

79 · D. Griger

24 · M. Terpak

Our number · tatran prešov winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

40% The market34%

Us40%

~~Market~~34%

We make Tatran Prešov a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Považská Bystrica win	35%	39%	−4
Draw	25%	27%	−2
Tatran Prešov win	40%	34%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	53%	55%	−2
Both teams to score	56%	59%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	76%	76%	0
Over 3.5 goals	30%	35%	−4
Považská Bystrica or draw	60%	66%	−7
Považská Bystrica clean sheet	24%	–	–
Tatran Prešov clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.2 9.3 6.6 3.2 1 8.4 11.6 8.5 4.1 2 5.5 7.8 5.7 2.7 3 2.5 3.5 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Považská Bystrica down, Tatran Prešov across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,232 2. liga matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.8% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 2.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Považská Bystrica at home: 2.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Tatran Prešov away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Považská Bystrica, 1.45 for Tatran Prešov. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~POV 0–1 TAT · TAT 3–1 POV · TAT 4–1 POV · POV 1–1 TAT

Form · last six in 2. liga

POVAŽSKÁ BYSTRICA

DWWLWW1–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–4 · 4–1 · 3–2

TATRAN PREŠOV

LLWLDW1–3 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Petržalka	11	+14	28
2	Šamorín	11	+10	27
3	Považská Bystrica	11	+4	22
4	Žilina II	11	+4	20
5	Pohronie	11	+3	19
6	Tatran Prešov	11	−1	17
7	Inter Bratislava	11	+9	16
8	Liptovský Mikuláš	11	+5	16
9	Galanta	11	−2	16
10	Zlaté Moravce	11	+1	13
11	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	11	−2	13
12	Slovan Bratislava II	11	0	12
13	Malženice	11	−2	11
14	Humenné	11	−9	8
15	MFK Bytča	11	−21	6
16	Lokomotíva Zvolen	11	−13	3