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Petržalka v Slovan Bratislava II

Petržalka
1–1Full time
Slovan Bratislava II

2. liga · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 12:06
Petržalka 1–1 Slovan Bratislava II PETRŽALKA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Petržalka win61%
The market said62%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.034
The market’s Brier score1.008

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 27 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Petržalka win at 61%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Petržalka was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–21–18
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Petržalka v Slovan Bratislava II
  4. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Slovan Bratislava II
  5. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Petržalka win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
  6. 41′We said Petržalka at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–33–18
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Petržalka 0–0 Slovan Bratislava II
  8. 45′SECOND HALF Petržalka 0–0 Slovan Bratislava II
  9. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Petržalka · On: L. Gasparovic · Off: M. Kompan Breznik
  10. 51′We said Petržalka at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–39–17
  11. 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 42–41–17
  12. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Petržalka win: 61% at kick-off, 41% now
  13. 59′We said Petržalka at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–45–16
  14. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Petržalka win 39%)
  15. 66′We said Petržalka at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–52–14
  16. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Slovan Bratislava II · On: L. Hofstadter · Off: E. Kozyk
  17. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Slovan Bratislava II · On: J. Salkovic · Off: A. Canolli
  18. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Petržalka · On: P. Nikolaj · Off: E. Isaac
  19. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Slovan Bratislava II
  20. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Petržalka · On: A. Goljan · Off: D. Bordac
  21. 69′We said Petržalka at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 0–1 · 7–25–69
  22. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Petržalka win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
  23. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Petržalka 0–1 Slovan Bratislava II
  24. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Petržalka win: 61% at kick-off, 7% now
  25. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Slovan Bratislava II win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 25%)
  26. 70′A goal for Slovan Bratislava II on 70′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 6–24–70
  27. 74′We said Petržalka at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–22–74
  28. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Slovan Bratislava II · On: P. Holocsy · Off: T. Gabris
  29. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Petržalka · On: D. Svancara · Off: V. Sliacky
  30. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Petržalka · On: S. Sefcik · Off: C. Boah
  31. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Petržalka win: 61% at kick-off, 1% now
  32. 87′Petržalka score on 87′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 9–87–4
  33. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Petržalka 1–1 Slovan Bratislava II
  34. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Petržalka win: 61% at kick-off, 9% now
  35. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Slovan Bratislava II win 4%)
  36. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Slovan Bratislava II · On: S. Diane · Off: P. Lembak
  37. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Petržalka
  38. 92′Full time, 1–1. We called Petržalka at 61% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
  39. FTFULL TIME Petržalka 1–1 Slovan Bratislava II
  40. FTPetržalka 1–1 Slovan Bratislava II · Petržalka win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Petržalka are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Petržalka 61%, draw 21%, Slovan Bratislava II 18%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Petržalka v Slovan Bratislava IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Petržalka win61%
Draw21%
Slovan Bratislava II win18%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 09:30

RoundMatchday 13

Line-ups

Petržalka

Slovan Bratislava II

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Petržalka

Slovan Bratislava II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · 2. liga

Last match: 11 Oct · 2. liga

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Petržalka12+1429
11Slovan Bratislava II12+215

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Petržalka

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Mikolas

27 A. Barilla

82 B. Ninaj

4 T. Jasso

19 N. Deligiannis

5 S. Alabi

12 C. Boah

21 M. Kompan Breznik

79 V. Sliacky

7 D. Bordac

8 E. Isaac

Coach · Rastislav Urgela

Substitutes

55 · M. Hudec

10 · P. Mazan

22 · S. Habodasz

93 · L. Gasparovic

17 · J. Kusalik

11 · A. Goljan

99 · D. Svancara

70 · P. Nikolaj

96 · S. Sefcik

Slovan Bratislava II

Formation not confirmed

30 M. Naimann

17 D. Jakolic

4 M. Minka

22 R. Tomanek

6 P. Lembak

8 M. Marko

11 J. Murko

10 E. Kozyk

7 A. Canolli

13 T. Gabris

19 J. Rehak

Coach · Erik Grendel

Substitutes

1 · D. Gramblicka

5 · P. Holocsy

9 · O. Jelinek

12 · S. Diane

21 · L. Hofstadter

18 · S. Fronko

16 · J. Salkovic

20 · M. Tomasko

3 · D. Balog

Our number · petržalka winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
61% The market62%
Us61%
Market62%

We make Petržalka a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.0–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Petržalka v Slovan Bratislava II2.00 – 0.97
Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 5 SeptW3 D2 L1 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 29 v 151 v 11
The market · Petržalka win62% · ours 61%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65% 12 OCT 04:0518 OCT 09:13
Our probability · Petržalka win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Petržalka win61%62%−1
Draw21%22%−1
Slovan Bratislava II win18%16%+2
Over 2.5 goals57%58%−1
Both teams to score53%55%−2
Over 1.5 goals79%80%−1
Over 3.5 goals35%38%−3
Petržalka or draw82%84%−2
Petržalka clean sheet38%––
Slovan Bratislava II clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.4%
0123450 5.1 5.2 2.4 1 10.4 9.8 4.8 2 10.2 9.9 4.8 3 6.8 6.6 3.2 4 3.4 3.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Petržalka down, Slovan Bratislava II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.40
Over 2.54 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsPET 1–0 SLO · SLO 0–0 PET · SLO 1–1 PET · PET 1–2 SLO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 5 Sept

PETRŽALKA

WLWWDD1–0 · 0–4 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–1

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA II

LWLDWW0–2 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Petržalka12+1429
2Šamorín13+1029
3Pohronie13+523
4Považská Bystrica13+323
5Galanta13022
6Inter Bratislava13+1220
7Žilina II12+320
8Liptovský Mikuláš13+419
9Tatran Prešov12−118
10Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom13−216
11Slovan Bratislava II12+215
12Zlaté Moravce13−213
13Malženice13−512
14Humenné13−1111
15MFK Bytča13−199
16Lokomotíva Zvolen13−136

The competition's standings before kick-off.