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Liptovský Mikuláš v Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

Liptovský Mikuláš
1–0Full time
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

2. liga · FRI 16 OCT · Mestsky futbalovy stadion Milana Janeka

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 18:31
Liptovský Mikuláš 1–0 Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom LIPTOVSKÝ MIKULÁŠ WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Liptovský Mikuláš win59%
The market said57%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.249
The market’s Brier score0.281

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Liptovský Mikuláš win at 59%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Liptovský Mikuláš was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–21–20
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Liptovský Mikuláš v Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
  4. 13′🟨 YELLOW · 13' Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
  5. 21′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
  6. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Liptovský Mikuláš win: 59% at kick-off, 49% now
  7. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Liptovský Mikuláš
  8. 44′We said Liptovský Mikuláš at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 47%. 0–0 · 47–33–20
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Liptovský Mikuláš 0–0 Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Liptovský Mikuláš 0–0 Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
  11. 51′We said Liptovský Mikuláš at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–36–20
  12. 55′We expected about 3.3 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 42–39–19
  13. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
  14. 59′We said Liptovský Mikuláš at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–42–18
  15. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Liptovský Mikuláš win: 59% at kick-off, 39% now
  16. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Liptovský Mikuláš win 38%)
  17. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Liptovský Mikuláš
  18. 66′We said Liptovský Mikuláš at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–17
  19. 72′We said Liptovský Mikuláš at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–57–14
  20. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Liptovský Mikuláš win: 59% at kick-off, 29% now
  21. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
  22. 76′A goal for Liptovský Mikuláš on 76′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 88–11–1
  23. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Liptovský Mikuláš 1–0 Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
  24. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Liptovský Mikuláš win: 59% at kick-off, 88% now
  25. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Liptovský Mikuláš win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
  26. 77′We published Liptovský Mikuláš at 59%. Our model now makes it 88%. 1–0 · 88–11–1
  27. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Liptovský Mikuláš win: 59% at kick-off, 89% now
  28. 79′We published Liptovský Mikuláš at 59%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
  29. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Liptovský Mikuláš
  30. 87′We published Liptovský Mikuláš at 59%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  31. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Liptovský Mikuláš
  32. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Liptovský Mikuláš
  33. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Liptovský Mikuláš win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
  34. FTFULL TIME Liptovský Mikuláš 1–0 Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
  35. FTLiptovský Mikuláš 1–0 Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · Liptovský Mikuláš win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Liptovský Mikuláš are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Liptovský Mikuláš 59%, draw 20%, Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 21%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Liptovský Mikuláš v Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Liptovský Mikuláš win59%
Draw20%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom win21%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueMestsky futbalovy stadion Milana Janeka

Line-ups

Liptovský Mikuláš

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Liptovský Mikuláš

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

5Days since last match3

Last match: 11 Oct · 2. liga

Last match: 13 Oct · the Slovak Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Liptovský Mikuláš12+316
10Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom12−116

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Liptovský Mikuláš

Formation not confirmed

30 A. Slancik

10 R. Bartos

8 T. Gerat

7 A. Macejko

28 M. Piter-Bucko

21 S. Kucharik

6 M. Sot

22 S. Chlepko

4 P. Majercik

15 S. Mojcak

27 A. Daneji

Coach · Marek Petrus

Substitutes

1 · J. Novak

20 · Rafael Freitas

17 · E. Okonji

19 · L. Laura

23 · T. Hak

11 · T. Stas

24 · L. Jendrek

14 · L. Fedor

12 · A. Blaho

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

Formation not confirmed

44 P. Znamenak

14 L. Simko

18 M. Cahel

19 D. Ovsonka

27 A. Cheprakov

5 R. Starecek

29 Y. Kambi

10 M. Sibanda

17 A. Horvat

15 B. Jatta

8 L. Okunola

Coach · Richard Slezak

Substitutes

25 · M. Smatlak

11 · M. Sevce

21 · N. Sagan

32 · R. Csemy

7 · T. Simko

23 · M. Bachna

12 · N. Dmitrovic

31 · S. Pastierik

55 · M. Kovacik

Our number · liptovský mikuláš winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 12 Oct 00:11 · locked at kick-off
59% The market57%
Us59%
Market57%

We make Liptovský Mikuláš a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.1–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Liptovský Mikuláš v Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom2.13 – 1.17
Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 4 SeptW2 D2 L2 · W2 D0 L4
Table places · points 16 v 169 v 10
The market · Liptovský Mikuláš win57% · ours 59%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 10 OCT 03:5816 OCT 15:41
Our probability · Liptovský Mikuláš win The market, margin stripped

Published at 61%, 59% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 57% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Liptovský Mikuláš win59%57%+2
Draw20%23%−3
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom win21%20%+1
Over 2.5 goals64%60%+4
Both teams to score60%59%+1
Over 1.5 goals84%80%+4
Over 3.5 goals42%40%+2
Liptovský Mikuláš or draw79%80%−1
Liptovský Mikuláš clean sheet31%––
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.6%
0123450 3.6 4.5 2.6 1 8.0 9.0 5.4 2.1 2 8.3 9.6 5.6 2.2 3 5.9 6.8 4.0 4 3.2 3.7 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Liptovský Mikuláš down, Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsBAN 2–2 LIP · LIP 2–0 BAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 4 Sept

LIPTOVSKÝ MIKULÁŠ

DLDWWL3–3 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 0–2

BANÍK LEHOTA P.VTÁČNIKOM

LWLLLW1–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 2–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Petržalka12+1429
2Šamorín12+1028
3Považská Bystrica12+423
4Pohronie12+522
5Žilina II12+320
6Inter Bratislava12+1219
7Galanta12−119
8Tatran Prešov12−118
9Liptovský Mikuláš12+316
10Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom12−116
11Slovan Bratislava II12+215
12Zlaté Moravce12−113
13Malženice12−511
14MFK Bytča12−189
15Humenné12−128
16Lokomotíva Zvolen12−143

The competition's standings before kick-off.