Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › 2. liga › Inter Bratislava v Šamorín

Back
Slovakia flag

Inter Bratislava v Šamorín

Inter Bratislava
2–2Full time
Šamorín

2. liga · SAT 17 OCT · Pasienky

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26
Inter Bratislava 2–2 Šamorín INTER BRATISLAVA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Inter Bratislava win53%
The market said40%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.934
The market’s Brier score0.815

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay23 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Inter Bratislava win at 53%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Inter Bratislava 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–23–24
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Inter Bratislava v Šamorín
  4. 11′We said Inter Bratislava at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–15–9
  5. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Inter Bratislava 1–0 Šamorín
  6. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Inter Bratislava win: 53% at kick-off, 76% now
  7. 12′A goal for Inter Bratislava on 12′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–15–8
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 77–16–7
  9. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Inter Bratislava 1–1 Šamorín
  10. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Inter Bratislava win: 53% at kick-off, 42% now
  11. 45′SECOND HALF Inter Bratislava 1–1 Šamorín
  12. 46′We said Inter Bratislava at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 41%. 1–1 · 41–37–22
  13. 46′Šamorín score on 45′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 41–37–22
  14. 46′HALF-TIME Inter Bratislava 1–1 Šamorín
  15. 50′We said Inter Bratislava at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–39–21
  16. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Šamorín
  17. 52′We said Inter Bratislava at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 1–2 · 12–26–62
  18. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Inter Bratislava 1–2 Šamorín
  19. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Inter Bratislava win: 53% at kick-off, 12% now
  20. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Šamorín win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Inter Bratislava win 12%)
  21. 53′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 12–26–62
  22. 53′Šamorín find the net on 53′. 1–2. 1–2 · 12–26–62
  23. 59′We said Inter Bratislava at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–25–65
  24. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Šamorín
  25. 72′We said Inter Bratislava at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 2–2 · 25–60–15
  26. 72′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 25–60–15
  27. 72′A goal for Inter Bratislava on 72′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 25–60–15
  28. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Inter Bratislava 2–2 Šamorín
  29. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Inter Bratislava win: 53% at kick-off, 25% now
  30. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Šamorín win 15%)
  31. 73′We said Inter Bratislava at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–62–14
  32. 76′A goal for Inter Bratislava on 72′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 21–67–12
  33. 77′We said Inter Bratislava at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 2–2 · 20–68–12
  34. 77′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 20–68–12
  35. 78′We said Inter Bratislava at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–70–11
  36. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Inter Bratislava
  37. 82′We said Inter Bratislava at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–78–8
  38. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Inter Bratislava win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
  39. 82′PENALTY MISSED · 82' Inter Bratislava
  40. 86′We said Inter Bratislava at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–86–6
  41. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Inter Bratislava
  42. 92′We said Inter Bratislava at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
  43. 92′2–2 at the end. Our 53% on Inter Bratislava misses, and the record keeps it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
  44. FTFULL TIME Inter Bratislava 2–2 Šamorín
  45. FTInter Bratislava 2–2 Šamorín · Inter Bratislava win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Inter Bratislava are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Inter Bratislava 53%, draw 23%, Šamorín 24%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Inter Bratislava v ŠamorínBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Inter Bratislava win53%
Draw23%
Šamorín win24%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 13

VenuePasienky

Line-ups

Inter Bratislava

Šamorín

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Inter Bratislava

Šamorín

6Days since last match3

Last match: 11 Oct · 2. liga

Last match: 14 Oct · the Slovak Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Šamorín12+1028
6Inter Bratislava12+1219

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Inter Bratislava

Formation not confirmed

24 M. Sulla

4 T. A. Egbe

5 L. Remen

7 L. F. Carrero

9 A. Toth

12 T. Vantruba

17 I. Betik

18 E. Metu

19 R. Nagy

20 P. Bellas

23 D. Ziska

Coach · Vladimir Cifranic

Substitutes

2 · K. Mihalek

8 · S. Svetlik

13 · R. Kubovic

14 · B. Polevka

15 · M. Vaclav

16 · Adebayo

21 · M. Kusnir

33 · J. Piroska

1 · P. Sokol

Šamorín

Formation not confirmed

38 A. Hudok

6 A. Konan

66 P. Varga

18 G. Marek

10 M. Weber

16 M. Totka

23 V. Bajtos

7 D. Pavuk

8 L. Bubuteishvili

14 M. Ranko

22 M. Kucman

Coach · Michal Kuruc

Substitutes

25 · S. Barro

5 · S. Varga

11 · S. Bednar

88 · L. Khozrevanidze

12 · V. Kaltsas

29 · S. Useni

20 · K. Blasko

24 · S. Simpore

15 · N. Kapus

Our number · inter bratislava winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:11 · locked at kick-off
53% The market40%
Us53%
Market40%

We make Inter Bratislava a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Inter Bratislava v Šamorín1.79 – 1.13
Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 4 SeptW3 D3 L0 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 19 v 286 v 2
The market · Inter Bratislava win40% · ours 53%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55% 11 OCT 04:0617 OCT 12:56
Our probability · Inter Bratislava win The market, margin stripped

Published at 51%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Inter Bratislava win53%40%+13
Draw23%26%−3
Šamorín win24%34%−10
Over 2.5 goals56%57%−1
Both teams to score56%60%−4
Over 1.5 goals78%78%0
Over 3.5 goals33%36%−3
Inter Bratislava or draw76%66%+10
Inter Bratislava clean sheet33%––
Šamorín clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%
0123450 5.4 6.3 3.5 1 9.9 10.7 6.1 2.3 2 8.6 9.6 5.4 2.0 3 5.2 5.8 3.2 4 2.3 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Inter Bratislava down, Šamorín across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsINT 0–2 SAM · SAM 2–0 INT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 4 Sept

INTER BRATISLAVA

DWDWDW3–3 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 5–2

ŠAMORÍN

WWWWLD2–1 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Petržalka12+1429
2Šamorín12+1028
3Pohronie13+523
4Považská Bystrica12+423
5Žilina II12+320
6Inter Bratislava12+1219
7Liptovský Mikuláš13+419
8Galanta12−119
9Tatran Prešov12−118
10Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom13−216
11Slovan Bratislava II12+215
12Zlaté Moravce12−113
13Malženice13−512
14MFK Bytča12−189
15Humenné12−128
16Lokomotíva Zvolen12−143

The competition's standings before kick-off.