Humenné v Zlaté Moravce

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Zlaté Moravce win at 40%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Zlaté Moravce 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 32–28–40
3. 1′KICK-OFF Humenné v Zlaté Moravce
4. 2′🟨 YELLOW · 2' Humenné
5. 12′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Humenné
6. 36′We said Zlaté Moravce at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 0–1 · 8–20–72
7. 36′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 0–1 · 8–20–72
8. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Humenné 0–1 Zlaté Moravce
9. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Zlaté Moravce win: 40% at kick-off, 72% now
10. 37′Zlaté Moravce score on 36′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 7–20–72
11. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Zlaté Moravce
12. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Zlaté Moravce
13. 45′HALF-TIME Humenné 0–1 Zlaté Moravce
14. 45′SECOND HALF Humenné 0–1 Zlaté Moravce
15. 47′We said Zlaté Moravce at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
16. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Zlaté Moravce · On: O. Lachowicz · Off: D. Bugar
17. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Humenné
18. 59′We said Zlaté Moravce at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 22–53–25
19. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Humenné 1–1 Zlaté Moravce
20. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Zlaté Moravce win: 40% at kick-off, 25% now
21. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Zlaté Moravce win 25%)
22. 60′Humenné find the net on 60′. 1–1. 1–1 · 21–54–25
23. 61′We said Zlaté Moravce at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 21–55–24
24. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Humenné
25. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Zlaté Moravce win: 40% at kick-off, 20% now
26. 70′We said Zlaté Moravce at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 17–64–19
27. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Zlaté Moravce
28. 71′We said Zlaté Moravce at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 2–1 · 81–16–2
29. 71′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 81–16–2
30. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Humenné 2–1 Zlaté Moravce
31. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Zlaté Moravce win: 40% at kick-off, 2% now
32. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Humenné win is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Draw 16%)
33. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Zlaté Moravce · On: A. Ousaye · Off: L. Bortoli
34. 72′A goal for Humenné on 71′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 82–16–2
35. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Humenné · On: M. Sarr · Off: Mateus
36. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Zlaté Moravce win: 40% at kick-off, under 1% now
37. 83′F. Sitarcik scores for Humenné on 71′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 92–8–0
38. 84′We said Zlaté Moravce at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 2–1 · 93–7–0
39. 84′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 93–7–0
40. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Humenné
41. 88′We said Zlaté Moravce at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 2–2 · 4–91–5
42. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Humenné 2–2 Zlaté Moravce
43. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Zlaté Moravce win: 40% at kick-off, 5% now
44. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Draw is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Humenné win 4%)
45. 89′Zlaté Moravce find the net on 89′. 2–1 · 96–4–0
46. 89′GOAL DISALLOWED · 89' Zlaté Moravce
47. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Zlaté Moravce win: 40% at kick-off, under 1% now
48. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Humenné win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
49. 93′2–1 at the end. Our 40% on Zlaté Moravce misses, and the record keeps it. 2–1 · 100–0–0
50. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Zlaté Moravce
51. FTFULL TIME Humenné 2–1 Zlaté Moravce
52. FTHumenné 2–1 Zlaté Moravce · Zlaté Moravce win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.