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Galanta v MFK Bytča

Galanta
2–1Full time
MFK Bytča

2. liga · SAT 17 OCT · Mestsky futbalovy stadion Galanta

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26
Galanta 2–1 MFK Bytča GALANTA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Galanta win66%
The market said61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.175
The market’s Brier score0.231

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 24 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Galanta win at 66%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Galanta was 66% before kick-off and our model makes it 66% now. 0–0 · 66–18–17
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Galanta v MFK Bytča
  4. 8′🟨 YELLOW · 7' Galanta
  5. 12′MFK Bytča find the net on 12′. 0–1. 0–1 · 40–23–37
  6. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Galanta 0–1 MFK Bytča
  7. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Galanta win: 66% at kick-off, 40% now
  8. 13′We said Galanta at 66%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–1 · 40–23–37
  9. 14′We said Galanta at 66%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–23–37
  10. 20′SUBSTITUTION · 11' MFK Bytča · On: G. Gana · Off: G. Danuleasa
  11. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Galanta win: 66% at kick-off, 36% now
  12. 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' MFK Bytča win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Galanta win 35%)
  13. 25′We said Galanta at 66%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–25–40
  14. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' MFK Bytča
  15. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 26' MFK Bytča
  16. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.6 we expected. 0–1 · 32–26–42
  17. 31′🟨 YELLOW · 30' MFK Bytča
  18. 34′A goal for Galanta on 34′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 57–26–18
  19. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Galanta 1–1 MFK Bytča
  20. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Galanta win: 66% at kick-off, 57% now
  21. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Galanta win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was MFK Bytča win 18%)
  22. 37′Galanta score on 36′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 82–13–5
  23. 37′We published Galanta at 66%. Our model now makes it 82%. 2–1 · 82–13–5
  24. 37′⚽ GOAL · 36' Galanta 2–1 MFK Bytča
  25. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Galanta win: 66% at kick-off, 82% now
  26. 45′HALF-TIME Galanta 2–1 MFK Bytča
  27. 46′SECOND HALF Galanta 2–1 MFK Bytča
  28. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Galanta
  29. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Galanta
  30. 64′We published Galanta at 66%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  31. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Galanta win: 66% at kick-off, 86% now
  32. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 71' MFK Bytča
  33. 79′36′: N. Bangs on the scoresheet for Galanta, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 90–9–1
  34. 79′We published Galanta at 66%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
  35. 80′Goals are coming at about the 3.6 we expected. 2–1 · 91–9–1
  36. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' MFK Bytča
  37. 86′We published Galanta at 66%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  38. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Galanta win: 66% at kick-off, 96% now
  39. FTFULL TIME Galanta 2–1 MFK Bytča
  40. FTGalanta 2–1 MFK Bytča · Galanta win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Galanta are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Galanta 66%, draw 18%, MFK Bytča 17%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Galanta v MFK BytčaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Galanta win66%
Draw18%
MFK Bytča win17%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 13

VenueMestsky futbalovy stadion Galanta

Line-ups

Galanta

MFK Bytča

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Galanta

MFK Bytča

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · 2. liga

Last match: 10 Oct · 2. liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Galanta12−119
14MFK Bytča12−189

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Galanta

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Amrich

15 M. Beranek

17 M. Cehula

5 O. Patrnciak

4 M. Slaninka

7 S. Kovac

12 J. J. Jokel

8 S. Benovic

22 N. Bangs

10 T. Horak

21 M. Zimani

Coach · Mikulas Radvanyi

Substitutes

18 · K. Huska

6 · K. Mego

13 · R. Kocik

16 · M. Repa

19 · T. Kiss

14 · R. Kollarik

9 · M. Arki

20 · M. Tomek

11 · P. Mullner

MFK Bytča

Formation not confirmed

1 E. Trauntenberger

5 G. Danuleasa

21 R. Hecko

7 D. Hundak

13 K. Falcao

11 T. Congrady

12 I. Mohammed

8 M. Pavlik

17 M. Hrmo

19 V. Subotenko

14 P. Jakubik

Coach · Stanislav Lojdl

Substitutes

22 · T. Fuka

9 · C. Luna

4 · R. Petrus

2 · J. Chrenko

20 · A. Micienka

6 · G. Gana

15 · G. Solomon

3 · A. Knapec

16 · R. Severa

Our number · galanta winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:11 · locked at kick-off
66% The market61%
Us66%
Market61%

We make Galanta a 66% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.5–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Galanta v MFK Bytča2.46 – 1.14
Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 5 SeptW4 D0 L2 · W2 D0 L4
Table places · points 19 v 98 v 14
The market · Galanta win61% · ours 66%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65%70% 11 OCT 04:0617 OCT 12:56
Our probability · Galanta win The market, margin stripped

Published at 64%, 66% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Galanta win66%61%+5
Draw18%22%−4
MFK Bytča win17%17%0
Over 2.5 goals69%60%+9
Both teams to score61%56%+5
Over 1.5 goals87%82%+5
Over 3.5 goals48%40%+8
Galanta or draw83%83%0
Galanta clean sheet33%––
MFK Bytča clean sheet9%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.1%
0123450 2.9 3.4 1 7.1 7.6 4.4 2 8.2 9.1 5.1 3 6.7 7.3 4.1 4 4.1 4.5 2.6 5 2.1 2.3
under 2% 5% 12%+Galanta down, MFK Bytča across0–5 goals a side shown (95.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 5 Sept

GALANTA

WLWWLW1–0 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 4–1 · 2–3 · 3–2

MFK BYTČA

LLWLLW1–2 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 4–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Petržalka12+1429
2Šamorín12+1028
3Pohronie13+523
4Považská Bystrica12+423
5Žilina II12+320
6Inter Bratislava12+1219
7Liptovský Mikuláš13+419
8Galanta12−119
9Tatran Prešov12−118
10Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom13−216
11Slovan Bratislava II12+215
12Zlaté Moravce12−113
13Malženice13−512
14MFK Bytča12−189
15Humenné12−128
16Lokomotíva Zvolen12−143

The competition's standings before kick-off.