

Galanta v Humenné
Galanta
Humenné2. liga · SAT 24 OCT · Mestsky futbalovy stadion Galanta
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Galanta win at 51%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Galanta 51% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–26–24
- 1′KICK-OFF Galanta v Humenné
- 12′Galanta score on 12′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 76–16–8
- 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Galanta 1–0 Humenné
- 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
- 13′We said Galanta at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–16–7
- 16′🟨 YELLOW · 15' Galanta
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 77–17–6
- 30′Humenné find the net on 30′. 1–1. 1–1 · 44–34–23
- 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Galanta 1–1 Humenné
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 44% now
- 33′SUBSTITUTION · 24' Humenné · On: M. Sarr · Off: Mateus
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
- 38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Humenné
- 43′We said Galanta at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–39–21
- 45′HALF-TIME Galanta 1–1 Humenné
- 47′SECOND HALF Galanta 1–1 Humenné
- 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Galanta win 39%)
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Galanta · On: K. Mego · Off: M. Zimani
- 53′A goal for Humenné on 52′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 10–25–65
- 53′We said Galanta at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 1–2 · 10–25–65
- 53′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 10–25–65
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Galanta 1–2 Humenné
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 10% now
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Humenné win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Draw 45%)
- 54′We said Galanta at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–25–65
- 63′Galanta score on 62′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 29–54–17
- 63′⚽ GOAL · 62' Galanta 2–2 Humenné
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 29% now
- 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Humenné win 70%)
- 64′We said Galanta at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–55–16
- 64′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 29–55–16
- 66′Galanta find the net on 66′. 3–2. 3–2 · 84–14–2
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Galanta 3–2 Humenné
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 84% now
- 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Galanta win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 57%)
- 67′We said Galanta at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–2
- 67′5 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 85–14–2
- 77′We said Galanta at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 3–2 · 90–10–1
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Humenné · On: S. Ninac · Off: I. Komjaty
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Humenné · On: J. P. Bamburak · Off: J. Straka
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Galanta · On: T. Kiss · Off: J. J. Jokel
- 85′We said Galanta at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Humenné
- 88′A goal for Humenné on 88′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 6–90–4
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Galanta · On: M. Tomek · Off: S. Kovac
- 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Galanta 3–3 Humenné
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 6% now
- 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Galanta win 96%)
- 89′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 6–91–3
- 91′We said Galanta at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 3–3 · 4–93–3
- FTFULL TIME Galanta 3–3 Humenné
- FTGalanta 3–3 Humenné · Galanta win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Galanta are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Galanta 51%, draw 26%, Humenné 24%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Galanta win51%
Humenné win24%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30
RoundMatchday 14
VenueMestsky futbalovy stadion Galanta
Match timeline
All events
GalantaMIN
HumennéEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Galanta
Humenné
Last match: 17 Oct · 2. liga
Last match: 17 Oct · 2. liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Galanta a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galanta win | 51% | 54% | −3 |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | +2 |
| Humenné win | 24% | 22% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 57% | −12 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 57% | −10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 78% | −8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 37% | −13 |
| Galanta or draw | 76% | 78% | −2 |
| Galanta clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Humenné clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 12 Sept
GALANTA
HUMENNÉ
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petržalka | 13 | +14 | 30 |
| 2 | Šamorín | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 3 | Pohronie | 13 | +5 | 23 |
| 4 | Považská Bystrica | 13 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 | Galanta | 13 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Žilina II | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 | Inter Bratislava | 13 | +12 | 20 |
| 8 | Liptovský Mikuláš | 13 | +4 | 19 |
| 9 | Tatran Prešov | 13 | −1 | 19 |
| 10 | Slovan Bratislava II | 13 | +2 | 16 |
| 11 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 13 | −2 | 16 |
| 12 | Zlaté Moravce | 13 | −2 | 13 |
| 13 | Malženice | 13 | −5 | 12 |
| 14 | Humenné | 13 | −11 | 11 |
| 15 | MFK Bytča | 13 | −19 | 9 |
| 16 | Lokomotíva Zvolen | 13 | −13 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Petržalka
Šamorín
Pohronie
Považská Bystrica
Žilina II
Inter Bratislava
Liptovský Mikuláš
Tatran Prešov
Slovan Bratislava II
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Zlaté Moravce
Malženice
MFK Bytča
Lokomotíva Zvolen