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Galanta v Humenné

Galanta
3–3Full time
Humenné

2. liga · SAT 24 OCT · Mestsky futbalovy stadion Galanta

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33
Galanta 3–3 Humenné GALANTA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Galanta win51%
The market said54%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.867
The market’s Brier score0.917

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay21 notes · 32 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Galanta win at 51%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Galanta 51% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–26–24
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Galanta v Humenné
  4. 12′Galanta score on 12′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 76–16–8
  5. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Galanta 1–0 Humenné
  6. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  7. 13′We said Galanta at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–16–7
  8. 16′🟨 YELLOW · 15' Galanta
  9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 77–17–6
  10. 30′Humenné find the net on 30′. 1–1. 1–1 · 44–34–23
  11. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Galanta 1–1 Humenné
  12. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 44% now
  13. 33′SUBSTITUTION · 24' Humenné · On: M. Sarr · Off: Mateus
  14. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
  15. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Humenné
  16. 43′We said Galanta at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–39–21
  17. 45′HALF-TIME Galanta 1–1 Humenné
  18. 47′SECOND HALF Galanta 1–1 Humenné
  19. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Galanta win 39%)
  20. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Galanta · On: K. Mego · Off: M. Zimani
  21. 53′A goal for Humenné on 52′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 10–25–65
  22. 53′We said Galanta at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 1–2 · 10–25–65
  23. 53′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 10–25–65
  24. 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Galanta 1–2 Humenné
  25. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 10% now
  26. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Humenné win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Draw 45%)
  27. 54′We said Galanta at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–25–65
  28. 63′Galanta score on 62′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 29–54–17
  29. 63′⚽ GOAL · 62' Galanta 2–2 Humenné
  30. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 29% now
  31. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Humenné win 70%)
  32. 64′We said Galanta at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–55–16
  33. 64′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 29–55–16
  34. 66′Galanta find the net on 66′. 3–2. 3–2 · 84–14–2
  35. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Galanta 3–2 Humenné
  36. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 84% now
  37. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Galanta win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 57%)
  38. 67′We said Galanta at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–2
  39. 67′5 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 85–14–2
  40. 77′We said Galanta at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 3–2 · 90–10–1
  41. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Humenné · On: S. Ninac · Off: I. Komjaty
  42. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Humenné · On: J. P. Bamburak · Off: J. Straka
  43. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
  44. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Galanta · On: T. Kiss · Off: J. J. Jokel
  45. 85′We said Galanta at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
  46. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Humenné
  47. 88′A goal for Humenné on 88′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 6–90–4
  48. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Galanta · On: M. Tomek · Off: S. Kovac
  49. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Galanta 3–3 Humenné
  50. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Galanta win: 51% at kick-off, 6% now
  51. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Galanta win 96%)
  52. 89′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 6–91–3
  53. 91′We said Galanta at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 3–3 · 4–93–3
  54. FTFULL TIME Galanta 3–3 Humenné
  55. FTGalanta 3–3 Humenné · Galanta win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Galanta are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Galanta 51%, draw 26%, Humenné 24%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Galanta v HumennéBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Galanta win51%
Draw26%
Humenné win24%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 14

VenueMestsky futbalovy stadion Galanta

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Galanta

Humenné

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. liga

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. liga

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Galanta13022
14Humenné13−1111

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · galanta winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
51% The market54%
Us51%
Market54%

We make Galanta a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Galanta v Humenné1.53 – 0.95
Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 12 SeptW4 D0 L2 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 22 v 115 v 14
The market · Galanta win54% · ours 51%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:55
Our probability · Galanta win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Galanta win51%54%−3
Draw26%24%+2
Humenné win24%22%+2
Over 2.5 goals45%57%−12
Both teams to score47%57%−10
Over 1.5 goals70%78%−8
Over 3.5 goals24%37%−13
Galanta or draw76%78%−2
Galanta clean sheet39%––
Humenné clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.8%
0123450 8.6 8.2 3.9 1 12.8 11.9 5.7 2 9.6 9.0 4.3 3 5.0 4.7 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Galanta down, Humenné across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsGAL 1–2 HUM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. liga this season · since 12 Sept

GALANTA

LWWLWW2–3 · 2–1 · 4–1 · 2–3 · 3–2 · 2–1

HUMENNÉ

LDDLLW1–2 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 1–4 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Petržalka13+1430
2Šamorín13+1029
3Pohronie13+523
4Považská Bystrica13+323
5Galanta13022
6Žilina II13+321
7Inter Bratislava13+1220
8Liptovský Mikuláš13+419
9Tatran Prešov13−119
10Slovan Bratislava II13+216
11Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom13−216
12Zlaté Moravce13−213
13Malženice13−512
14Humenné13−1111
15MFK Bytča13−199
16Lokomotíva Zvolen13−136

The competition's standings before kick-off.