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Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom v Lokomotíva Zvolen

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

1–0Full time

Lokomotíva Zvolen

2. liga · SAT 10 OCT · Futbalovy stadion OFK Banik

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 1–0 Lokomotíva Zvolen BANÍK LEHOTA P.VTÁČNIKOM WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom win~~46%

~~The market said~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.440

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.393

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 7 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom win at 46%.
3′Little has changed for our model: Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 46% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–25–30
3′KICK-OFF Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom v Lokomotíva Zvolen
22′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Lokomotíva Zvolen
43′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Lokomotíva Zvolen
45′HALF-TIME Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 0–0 Lokomotíva Zvolen
48′SECOND HALF Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 0–0 Lokomotíva Zvolen
76′⚽ GOAL · 75' Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 1–0 Lokomotíva Zvolen
FTFULL TIME Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 1–0 Lokomotíva Zvolen
FTBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 1–0 Lokomotíva Zvolen · Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom win46%

Draw24%

Lokomotíva Zvolen win30%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

Venue · Futbalovy stadion OFK Banik

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

Formation not confirmed

44 P. Znamenak

14 L. Simko

18 M. Cahel

19 D. Ovsonka

21 N. Sagan

29 Y. Kambi

5 R. Starecek

10 M. Sibanda

25 M. Smatlak

15 B. Jatta

16 M. Sevce

Coach · Richard Slezak

Substitutes

55 · M. Kovacik

17 · A. Horvat

20 · R. Csemy

7 · T. Simko

23 · M. Bachna

13 · V. Kovac

8 · L. Okunola

Lokomotíva Zvolen

Formation not confirmed

31 S. Kocka

2 S. Adayilo

3 E. Gasko

4 T. Zahumensky

7 A. Oravec

8 M. Gono

9 L. Vrekic

13 K. Qose

14 L. Filipiak

21 T. Husarcik

99 M. Leitl

Coach · Dusan Toth

Substitutes

86 · D. Palfi

11 · P. Onuoha

10 · T. Kajsin

17 · M. Koros

19 · L. Biely

20 · L. Dvorsky

33 · B. Petrak

16 · K. Izuakor

6 · J. Nemcok

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

Formation not confirmed

44 P. Znamenak

14 L. Simko

18 M. Cahel

19 D. Ovsonka

21 N. Sagan

29 Y. Kambi

5 R. Starecek

10 M. Sibanda

25 M. Smatlak

15 B. Jatta

16 M. Sevce

Coach · Richard Slezak

Substitutes

55 · M. Kovacik

17 · A. Horvat

20 · R. Csemy

7 · T. Simko

23 · M. Bachna

13 · V. Kovac

8 · L. Okunola

Lokomotíva Zvolen

Formation not confirmed

31 S. Kocka

2 S. Adayilo

3 E. Gasko

4 T. Zahumensky

7 A. Oravec

8 M. Gono

9 L. Vrekic

13 K. Qose

14 L. Filipiak

21 T. Husarcik

99 M. Leitl

Coach · Dusan Toth

Substitutes

86 · D. Palfi

11 · P. Onuoha

10 · T. Kajsin

17 · M. Koros

19 · L. Biely

20 · L. Dvorsky

33 · B. Petrak

16 · K. Izuakor

6 · J. Nemcok

Our number · baník lehota p.vtáčnikom winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

46% The market49%

Us46%

~~Market~~49%

We make Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · baník lehota p.vtáčnikom win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 48% to 49% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom win	46%	49%	−3
Draw	24%	25%	−1
Lokomotíva Zvolen win	30%	26%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	54%	60%	−6
Both teams to score	56%	61%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	77%	80%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	32%	38%	−7
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom or draw	70%	74%	−4
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom clean sheet	29%	–	–
Lokomotíva Zvolen clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 5.8 7.5 4.5 1 9.5 11.3 7.1 3.0 2 7.5 9.1 5.7 2.4 3 4.0 4.9 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom down, Lokomotíva Zvolen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,232 2. liga matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.8% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom at home: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Lokomotíva Zvolen away: 0.83 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.60 goals for Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom, 1.24 for Lokomotíva Zvolen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~LOK 1–0 BAN · BAN 1–5 LOK

Form · last six in 2. liga

BANÍK LEHOTA P.VTÁČNIKOM

WLWLLL1–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 2–3

LOKOMOTÍVA ZVOLEN

DLLLLL1–1 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Petržalka	11	+14	28
2	Šamorín	11	+10	27
3	Považská Bystrica	11	+4	22
4	Žilina II	11	+4	20
5	Pohronie	11	+3	19
6	Tatran Prešov	11	−1	17
7	Inter Bratislava	11	+9	16
8	Liptovský Mikuláš	11	+5	16
9	Galanta	11	−2	16
10	Zlaté Moravce	11	+1	13
11	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	11	−2	13
12	Slovan Bratislava II	11	0	12
13	Malženice	11	−2	11
14	Humenné	11	−9	8
15	MFK Bytča	11	−21	6
16	Lokomotíva Zvolen	11	−13	3